GayPatriot

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Leading Political Indicators Showing GOP To Hold Congress

by

I’ve been holding off on this posting since Labor Day.  I didn’t want to get ahead of the curve.  But I also couldn’t help remembering all summer that the predictions of the Dems’ “landslide” (aka 1994) were quite premature and very reminiscent of similar talk in the summer of 2002 and the summer of 2004.

You may recall those elections produced historic wins for a sitting President’s party, including the first President to garner over 50% of the vote since 1998.  (Bill Clinton isn’t on that list).

But the evidence has grown to the point that it is hard for any rational (i.e. – non-Bush hating Liberal) to avoid it.  The Democrats have squandered their best chance to take control of Congress since 1994 and I do believe — as I have felt all summer, actually — that the Republicans will hold both the House and Senate.

The latest leading political indicator — a new Gallup Poll on Congressional preference. (Hat tip:  Wizbang Politics)

The Democrats’ yearlong lead among likely voters has evaporated, strengthening Republican chances of holding majority control in the House, according to the Gallup Poll.

Gallup’s latest survey of voters who say they will go to the polls Nov. 7 showed the contest is a “dead heat” between those who say they will vote Republican (48 percent) and those who say they intend to support Democrats (48 percent). The poll of 1,003 adults was conducted Sept. 15-17.

Democrats continue to maintain an advantage among registered voters; however, pollsters consider likely voters to be a more accurate measurement of the electorate’s preferences. The neck-and-neck estimates suggest the Republicans have the potential to offset the Democrats’ lead “with greater turnout,” Gallup said last week in an analysis of its findings.

“Should that result persist until Election Day, it suggests Republicans would be able to maintain their majority-party status in the House,” Gallup said.

The Congressional preference polls have also historically shown that they skew Democrat, and as long as the GOP is within 4 or 5 that really means they are ahead.

Prospects for the Dems to take control of the US Senate have always been weaker this year than for the House.  The chances for a Senate control flip are getting even worse as we get closer to November 7.  New Jersey and Maryland are seriously in play and most political observers say it would be near impossible for the Dems to take control of the Senate if they lose either.

To give you an idea of why this is happening and why Republicans will continue to control Congress for many years to come, you only need read a great new book that I’m halfway into:  Voting to Kill:  How 9/11 Launched The Era of Republican Leadership by Jim Geraghty.  I’ll be doing a full-review when I’m finished.  It is outstanding so far and a very quick read!

-Bruce (GayPatriot)

Comments

  1. But we can’t know yet, Bruce.

    The leftie-gloating we saw last spring over something that hadn’t happened yet, and would not necessarily happen – a massive anti-war landslide in November – was bizarre.

    Likewise, although it is a lot closer to the election today, I think it’s still 5-6 weeks too early to say “The Democrats have squandered their chance…”

  4. Wow Daniel, pretty small goals considering what the leftists had promised America just a short while ago. I wonder if the Dem fundraisers are telling their donors that their goals are that miniscule?

  6. During the mid terms of a Presidents second term he typically loses seats in both houses. Anyone know how many is the average? Just wondered how low the bar is set for the good guys.

  9. I don’t understand why anyone would want Allen out, either. Unless they were bigoted anti-Semites…

    Which may also explain the libtard hatred against Lieberman, too.

    Regards,
    Peter H.

  11. Election day is six weeks from tomorrow. Given the variables involved–not only candidates stand on issues, but also candidates’ “get out the vote” efforts, it has never seemed to be to be a particularly productive use of time to go back and forth on who will win and who will lose. We’ll find out in 44 or so days.

  12. Gee, isn’t it interesting that the same libtards who were hyping the polls not three months ago are now saying “we’ll know on election day.”

    (Sigh) Scribes, Pharisees and Hypocrites all…

    Regards,
    Peter H.

  13. I certainly do note a lot of “downsizing” of expectations from the “Democrat Tsunami” from a couple weeks ago.

    But as someone said from the lower-class-clan… we must wait until Election Day.

    But you know things are bad for the Democrats when they have begun to circulate the “voting irregularities” talking point. They can’t win at the ballot box, so they have to delegitimize my vote.

    How very Mexico!

  15. And Bruce, don’t forget the “voters are stupid” mantra as well. You know, it’s the electorate’s fault that the RATS don’t get elected – they’re just uneducated and not “focused on the issues” (another RAT talking point).

    I used to wonder why libtards idolized places like Cuba and the old USSR. Now I know why. It’s because those are the only places where you can control the population’s electorate. In a free society, their ideas wouldn’t stand a chance.

    Regards,
    Peter H.

  16. Clinton’s meltdown was the final straw for me. I’m off the fence considering voting for Webb. If it were peacetime, I would because I’m that mad at the GOP and Allen, but it’s not. The only issue that matters to me is national security and the Dems are a joke. Thus I am forced to hold my nose and vote for Allen. I posted more on this at my own weblog.

  17. For the Democrats now, it’s all about lowering expectations in the fear that if they don’t get ’em low low low, their base won’t understand after staggering ElectionDay loses and rise up in revolt… taking the Party even farther into the moonbattery and radical swamp. I can hear the spin now… Democrats: We didn’t lose as badly as we thought.

    Can anyone say “CindyZeroSheehan for DNC Chair”? Plummeting gas prices, free drugs for the aged, lower taxes, no hurricanes, climbing polling for GOP candidates, the Pope leading the WesternMorals group on muslim indifference to fascists in their midst… it’s a great Fall. Plus the Wolverines are on top and undefeated.

    But, like Calarato noted above: complacency is bad.

    I’m thinking the “fall surprise” will not be bin Laden’s capture… I think it will be TeddieK declaring the next nor’easter storm as a hurricane and asking fellow MassMoonbats to jump in the bay and float out to sea as ElectionEve Kamakazi and ask Clinton to get back on the air and feign outrage as to why the federal response was so slow. Don’t laugh, I’ve seen the plans in PatrickK’s detox suite next to the Democrat Caucus Room.

    ahh, to comtemplate the Fall. What more could one want in life?

    Well, a blocking program for soxpuppets would be nice. I’ll save it for Santa.

  19. Thanks Peter… Ohio has a football team??? Have they played before?

    The opportunity for them to win the BigTen is just inside of TeddieK becoming Senate MAJORITY Leader after the November elections.

  20. Sorry, but I’d rather take the OSU win over Teddy “Where’s My Pants” Kennedy being in charge of ANYTHING on Capitol Hill.

    Speaking of which – Stabenow is also looking very vulnerable right now. According to most pundits, that seat is now in play.

    Regards,
    Peter H.

  22. Peter, you’re right… Senator StupidCow’s seat is in play and it looks the GOP in Michigan will keep control of the Michigan Congressional delegation, take back control of the Governor’s mansion, keep and PICK UP seats in the State House and Senate, keep the AttyGen’s Office, the Secy of State Office and put Senator StupidCow back in line at the feed trough.

    Another state moves out of the Democrat Party orbit. It’s going to be a cold, wintery November and December in their land of discontent.

  23. Yo Ian, how does Sen Allens use of the M word compare to the exaulted leading lite of the Senate, Democrat Robert Byrd of West Virginia. Remember Mr Byrd was a high exalted leader of the Klan a while back. God Bless America.

  24. #23: “how does Sen Allens use of the M word ”

    Actually, we’ve now moved on to the “N” word and the fact that Allen is RIGHT NOW lying about never having used it. That and the fact he apparently once stuffed a severed deer head into a black family’s mailbox. What a sicko. http://tinyurl.com/f3pv5

    Good news from Arizona: Jim Kolbe’s seat is almost certain to turn Dem: Giffords is up by 12 points over wingnut Graf and the national GOP has virtually abandoned Graf’s campaign. It seems to me that if a small red state like Arizona can provide one of the fifteen seats needed to make Nancy Pelosi Majority Leader then surely much bigger states can flip enough seats to provide the other fourteen.

  25. And once again, rajiansybilevabraun is in moonbat orbit.

    Watch – when the GOP retains control of BOTH the House and Senate on the morning of November 8, they’ll claim they never said it.

    Watch out for that re-entry into Earth’s atmosphere, sockpuppet. You will get burned doing it.

    Checkmate.

    Regards,
    Peter H.

  26. #25: BTW Petey, I didn’t even mention the other races in Arizona that are in play especially now that we have a certified homohating fringe wingnut running for the GOP for Governor against a popular and virtually invulnerable incumbent Dem. I suspect many Republican-leaning independents will simply not bother to vote in November which will depress GOP turnout critical to such races as Kyl’s and Hayworth’s. In any event, these latter two bozos are going to have to spend big $$ to keep their seats.

  28. Question for the community: how can Ian know what’s happening in Arizona when he’s supposedly in Germany on raj’s other hand? Queer.

    Are soxpuppets detachable?

    Or are Ian and raj two different posters and not just one version of a soxpuppet depending on the hand in play?

  29. Sockpuppets, I daresay you’d want to re-think the “invulnerability” of your governor in Arizona, especially with this 9/11 war memorial flap looming over the race.

    You read it here first – within 4 weeks, this seat will be in play for the GOP.

    Funny how the most non-credible people on this board can lay claim that others have no credibility.

    Hypocrisy, thy name is liberalism.

    I rest my case.

    Regards,
    Peter H.

  30. #12 Peter Hughes — September 25, 2006 @ 3:48 pm – September 25, 2006

    Gee, isn’t it interesting that the same libtards who were hyping the polls not three months ago are now saying “we’ll know on election day.”

    On the presumption that you are referring to me, where is your citation that I hyped any polls regarding the election within the last three months?

    Put up, or shut up.

  31. raj, Peter didn’t write “idiot whining libtards”, just libtards.

    You’re free of association on this one. Look for idiot and whining to describe your nonsense… then you’ll know someone is talking to you.

  32. #31 Michigan-Matt — September 26, 2006 @ 3:00 pm – September 26, 2006

    Poor dear. Peter’s post #12 immediately followed mine #11. Peter refuses to refer to comments to which he is responding by any identifying indicia.

    I’m sure that Peter is a big enough boi that he is more than capable of saying what his comment was responding to. I doubt that he really needs your (non-)assistance in that matter.

  33. #29: “this 9/11 war memorial flap looming over the race.”

    This is going to hurt the homohater Munsil and identify him even more with the worst of the right wing fringe. The panel overseeing the design of the privately funded memorial was created by a popular Republican Governor, Jane Hull so Munsil’s vow to demolish the memorial is a stick in the eye of most conservatives here in Arizona. BTW, did you know that Munsil’s “family values” includes conceiving children out of wedlock?

  34. To wit, answers to the following sockpuppet gallery questions:

    1. I need no citations for events that are clearly and indelibly marked. Especially since the person asking for them is not the one I was addressing nor citing. You want names? Okay – lester/keogh sockpuppet, rightiswrong sockpuppet – among others – have valiantly flailed about polls showing a GOP upset in November. I dare any of them to say that they have not predicted “Speaker Pelosi” in the future.

    2. Since when are gays concerned about conceiving children out of wedlock? Doesn’t that contradict our lifestyle? I mean, if you are procreating instead of recreating, you must be…straight. So I still stand by my hypothesis that AZ will be in play by the end of October.

    3. Actually, “homohater” Munsil has just put Napolitano on the defensive regarding the 9/11 memorial. She is the one who has to “put up or shut up,” as you so nauseatingly put it.

    I think I’ve kicked enough libtard tail and taken enough names today.

    BUH-BYE.

    Regards,
    Peter H.

  35. Actually, we’ve now moved on to the “N” word and the fact that Allen is RIGHT NOW lying about never having used it.

    Of course, now that Larry Sabato is backpedaling and Jim Webb himself, aside from regular use of “nigger” to refer to blacks in his book, is acknowledging that HE may or may not have said it, that adds an interesting wrinkle to the argument.

    Let’s see if IanRaj, who has been screaming that any use of the “N” word for whatever reason is a racial slur that insults millions of blacks and proves that the person who uses it is a hate-filled racist who doesn’t deserve to hold public office, holds consistent — or, more likely, starts spinning to explain why this, like the use of antiblack statements and blackface campaign advertisements, is OK when Dems do it.

    And as for the Arizona race, no worries. Patricia Giffords’s days are numbered, especially when there are tapes of her promising groups like La Raza that she will support Democrats’ goals of amnesty for illegal immigrants, granting drivers’ licenses to them, removing Arizona’s restrictions on welfare for them, and blocking attempts to increase border security.

  36. -Patricia Giffords’s –

    I don’t know about Patricia Gifford, but Gabrielle Gifford seems to be doing very well in her race for Congress. The NRCC has apparently given up on the race, and Graf can’t do much better than the generic anti-gay, immigration hysteria campaign you can find anywhere. That may work in a hardcore GOP district, but this one is more moderate.

    I keep thinking about all those comments back in late 2004 and early 2005 that Republicans were going to gain all kinds of more power in 2006, that Blackwell would be governor of Ohio, Swann governor of Pennsylvania, that Cantwell, Hillary Clinton, Bill Nelson, etc. would all be looking for new jobs. And now it’s a huge boon for Republicans to even keep Congress?

  37. Sorry, I meant Giffords. That’s what I get for thinking I had her name right.

    Anyway, it’s good for the country to have split power. There’s no way a Democrat is winning the White House in the next few decades, so Congress may be better off being more divided among both parties. And for all the talk of the Democrats being the party of no ideas, which is true, it would be nice to see the GOP have ideas beyond telling everyone how scary Democrats are. That might happen if they actually had some time in the wilderness to think.

  38. Hey, aren’t you guys forgetting something? Rep. Charles Rangel (D-NY) has said that if the Dems don’t take the House this election cycle, he will resign. So clear out his office space & get the special election ready.

  39. Let’s hope so, Jimbo. But with the number of attorneys and other agit-props being purchased by the DNC to challenge outcomes of certain elections with which they disagree (that means THEY LOST), don’t hold your breath on Rangel actually following through with his “promise.”

    And don’t expect the Drive-By Media to remind him of it, either. I’m still waiting for Alec Baldwin and the rest of the Hollywood libtards to move out of the country as they said they would in 2004. So far as I know, those a$$holes are still here…

    Regards,
    Peter H.

  40. Ok in the second year of a Presidents term his party typically loses seats in both houses. And they lose a significant number. In 1986 the off year election of the second term of Ronald Magnus, the Republicans lost 7 House seats and 8 Senate seats. If I remember right,the Republicans had many more vulnerable seats because of Reagans landslides especially in 1980, adding freshmen Senators that year. It seems incredible to imagine now but in 1984 Ronald Reagan won 49 states including MA, DE, MD, CT, NY. So history says Republicans will lose seats this year if all things were equal. Just how many. I’d predict that a -10 in the House and -3 in the Senate would be viewed as a historical norm. But expect the MSM to declare a rousing Dem victory and the Administration MUST change course and appease the terrorists.

  41. And Gene, that fits the MSM-libtard template so well. Remember back in 1998, when the GOP still retained control of Congress but lost a few seats in the House and Senate? Little Dick Gephardt (D-MO) called it a “victory.”

    That’s how the libtard left sees things. Unfortunately for them, it’s not how normal Americans see things. Which is why they will not control Congress after 11/7. Keep them on a suicide watch after that date.

    Regards,
    Peter H.

  42. I don’t know about Patricia Gifford, but Gabrielle Gifford seems to be doing very well in her race for Congress..

    Gabrielle Giffords, my mistake. Sorry.

    The NRCC has apparently given up on the race, and Graf can’t do much better than the generic anti-gay, immigration hysteria campaign you can find anywhere.

    Well, they decided not to fund an ad buy immediately. That could mean they’re giving up, or it could also mean that they don’t think it’s imperative to do so right away. Personally, I think it’s because they know that, given the choice between someone with a hard-line stance on immigration like Graf and a two-faced Democrat with a history of saying one thing to her district and another when she’s in session, especially on the issue of immigration, she’ll kill herself off.

    I keep thinking about all those comments back in late 2004 and early 2005 that Republicans were going to gain all kinds of more power in 2006, that Blackwell would be governor of Ohio, Swann governor of Pennsylvania, that Cantwell, Hillary Clinton, Bill Nelson, etc. would all be looking for new jobs.

    And it could still happen; we won’t know until Election Day.

    Anyway, it’s good for the country to have split power.

    As my old boss used to say, “Two heads are better than one, but only if both of them are working.”

    Right now, the Democrats are nothing more than the party of Kos and Sheehan — and if you think putting anti-American terrorism supporters in charge of one branch of the government is a good idea, we have a problem.

    Split power would be good if the Democrats were rational. But right now the only thing about which they care is complete, total, and irrational opposition to religion, conservatives, and Bush.

  43. #35: Larry Sabato is only one of many who make the claim about Allen’s use of the N-word. Others (see http://tinyurl.com/heyb4) have detailed first hand accounts. And now there’s corroboration of the deer head in the mailbox incident: http://tinyurl.com/jnnqk

    As for your prognostications on the AZ District 8 race, well, you don’t even know the Democratic candidate’s name. LOL! That District is pretty moderate as evidenced by the large swath of Tucson that it includes. Did you know that Tucson was one of the first locales in the US to provide anti-discrimination protection for gay people way back in 1977? Probably not.

    Graf is toast; Giffords will be replacing Kolbe in the House. The latest poll now has Governor Napolitano with a lead of lead of 36 percentage points over the GOP homohater Munsil who’s now starting to feel blowback from his foolish plan to demolish the 9/11 memorial. And the big story on the Arizona Republic’s front page today – as with many newspapers – is the release of the sections of the NIE showing that the Iraq occupation has enhanced the spread and appeal of the violent jihadist movement. That’s just the opposite of what Bush and his Arizona GOP rubber stamps have been telling us. Even the most dim-witted Bush cultists are going to be questioning the disastrous “stay-the-course” mantra embraced by the Administration and its enablers – yes Jon Kyl, I’m talking about YOU!

  44. Uh, rajiansybilevabraun, Sabato has just revised his statement to the press regarding his “belief” (NOT PROOF) that Allen did or said these things. He claims he heard from someone who went to school with Allen 30 years ago (30 YEARS AGO!) that he “thinks” he did/said these things. In other words, Sabato’s lying…again.

    And I also find it interesting that he did not wish to speak with Fox News AT ALL about this incident. Maybe because he knew he wouldn’t get a pass, because Sabato is AFFILIATED WITH THE WEBB CAMPAIGN??

    Frankly, I’m sick of the libtard left making political hay out of alleged racial insensitivity. If we’re going to go back and dissect everything people said or did as soon as they were toilet-trained, then by God let’s do it with EVERYONE. And start with the RAT leaders like Pelosi, Reid, Schumer, Clinton, Rodham-Clinton, Kennedy (oh, there’d be a butt load of stuff there!), et al. And we’ll see who has the most skeletons in the closet.

    Of course, with flamers like Barney Frank and Jim McGreevey, “closet” is the operative word. Wonder why nobody came up with any information on McGreevey in the last 10 years or so, especially if he was such a slut in the t-rooms and parks?? And has anyone forgotten Frank operating a call-boy service out of his DC residence?? Gee, THAT got swept under the rug…

    Kinky Friedman here in Texas had the right attitude. Someone – probably from the RATS – put out a 1980 stand-up routine of Kinky that someone had filmed where he used the word “nigger.” After being informed that the NAACP wanted an apology, Kinky replied that he had nothing to apologize FOR, since people like Lenny Bruce and Richard Pryor did the same thing. He also rightly pointed out that in 1980, he had no idea he was going to run for office and that he was expressing his freedom of speech under the First Amendment.

    And funny enough, this incident has BLOWN OVER. I wouldn’t be surprised if he actually won this race here for governor, because he was only 11 points behind incumbent Gov. Rick Perry (R) prior to this “alleged racial insensitivity” came to light. I’m sure a lot of people are as sick as I am about this matter, and are rightly applauding his no-bullshit response to a group that has outlived its usefulness.

    FYI: Texas does not use a run-off for multicandidate gubernatorial races. A plurality wins the day. Sort of like in Jesse Ventura’s case.

    Deal with it.

    Regards,
    Peter H.

  45. #35: Larry Sabato is only one of many who make the claim about Allen’s use of the N-word. Others (see http://tinyurl.com/heyb4) have detailed first hand accounts. And now there’s corroboration of the deer head in the mailbox incident: http://tinyurl.com/jnnqk

    Unfortunately, as both your articles point out, numerous other people disagree AND are willing to say that Allen is not a racist — and that the incident had nothing to do with race.

    Meanwhile, we’re waiting for your condemnation of Webb, as well as the other examples of racism among Democrats that are documented, proven, and linked with evidence. In the meantime, we will go on the theory that your cries of “racism” are coming from someone who thinks Democrats who use the word “nigger”, portray other candidates in blackface, and call blacks who aren’t Democratic “house slaves”, “Simple Sambos”, and “oreos”.

    That District is pretty moderate as evidenced by the large swath of Tucson that it includes. Did you know that Tucson was one of the first locales in the US to provide anti-discrimination protection for gay people way back in 1977? Probably not.

    Unfortunately, the primary issue in the district isn’t gays; it’s immigration.

    A candidate like Giffords, who has openly lied to her constituency before and will support Democrat plans for amnesty, giving driver’s licenses to illegal aliens, and unlimited welfare, is toast. The poor puppet hasn’t a chance; the people in Tucson and the surrounding areas are smarter than the usual Democrat constituency and know when someone is just a puppet for Democratic leadership.

    And as for the NIE, you must remember; unlike Democratic puppets like yourself, Ian, most voters are intelligent enough to realize that terrorists repeatedly attacked the United States BEFORE the Iraq war. Now, the jihadists are coming to Iraq in droves — and fighting our army, rather than planning attacks on defenseless civilians.

    They wanted a war; we gave them one, and ever since it started, they’ve been hoping that easily-manipulated leftists like yourself will get it to stop, because we’re killing them off like flies. They liked it better when you and yours were in power and they could do as they pleased without US interference.

  46. More about Arizona, for ianrajsybilevabraun’s benefit. (Consider this a “proportionate response.”) Ready? This is from Rasmussen polling – who, by the way, called the 2004 presidential race with the most accuracy:

    Incumbent U.S. Sen. John Kyl’s lead has taken a hit, but he’s still in control of his bid for another term in the United States Senate. The latest Rasmussen Reports election survey shows Kyl leading Democrat challenger Jim Pederson 50% to 39%.

    Here is the link, O Sockpuppet of the Ian Persuasion:

    http://rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/September%202006/ElectionPoll2006ArizonaSenate.htm

    Deal with it.

    Regards,
    Peter H.

  47. As a foil to the leftist attacks on Sen Allen of Virginia…can we find pictures of Sen Byrd of W Virginia? People who dressed up in sheets and burned crosses with Sen Byrd when he was a member of the Klan? Sen Byrd is up for re election as well this year. Let’s compare pictures and epethets. Let the MSM do a side by side. Fair and balanced. I wanna know how many black families Bobby Byrd chased out of their burning homes. Think Bobby Byrd refered to any black person as anything but an “N” back then? How many lynchings was Bobby Byrd actually at?

  48. Gene, here’s the audio link of Robert Byrd (D-KKK) on Fox News Sunday – no, not with Chris Wallace, but with Tony Snow – and he says the word “nigger” not once but TWICE.

    And as usual, the plantation hands (i.e. Kweisi Mfume, Jesse Jackson) of the demoncRAT party gave him a pass – “he’s an old man and he uses words he finds familiar,” was one refrain that made me spit out my morning coffee.

    RATS = Scribes, Pharisees and Hypocrites!

    Here’s the link:

    http://mfile.akamai.com/5020/wma/rushlimb.download.akamai.com/5020/clips/06/09/092706_8_allen.asx

    Regards,
    Peter H.

  49. #45: Once again, you just blather on with nothing to back up your wild claims. But you and the rest of the Allen defenders here just keep on defending this lying racist scumbag because it confirms to all that Allen really is the face of the modern GOP.

    As for your bloviating on Arizona politics, you couldn’t even get the candidates name right! I’d be surprised if you’ve ever set foot in the state other than to perhaps drive through it on I10.

    As for the Petey poll on Kyls’s race, I fully expect Kyl to win but Pederson is forcing him to spend time and money on what should have been a cakewalk. Frankly if Kyl were to go down to defeat it would be as part of a complete nationwide GOP rout. As it stands, I think the Dems have an excellent chance to gain five Senate seats and a good chance of gaining the six needed for control.

    As for the House, I think it’s just a question of how large a majority Nancy Pelosi will have. I am, of course, ecstatic that a red state like Arizona is doing its part in reining in the Bush incompetents and their rubber stamp enablers.

  50. Once again, you just blather on with nothing to back up your wild claims.

    Wrong.

    I gave you links to Webb’s admittance that he used “nigger”, as well as the racist remarks coming from the campaign of wannabe Dem senator Ben Cardin, here.

    Proof of the Lamont campaign’s racist use of blackface photos, as well as their attempted lies to cover it up, and calling conservative blacks “house slaves” and “oreos” is also provided, free of charge — as I invariably have.

    And again, I challenge you: denounce these people, including Lamont, as racists, since there is proven evidence that they have used racist statements and portrayals, or stand exposed as a hypocrite who claims Republicans are racists based on hearsay but ignores clear PROOF of Democratic racism.

    As for your bloviating on Arizona politics, you couldn’t even get the candidates name right! I’d be surprised if you’ve ever set foot in the state other than to perhaps drive through it on I10.

    And yet, I still have nailed the fact that Giffords is a Democratic puppet who lies to her constituency and plans to support amnesty, drivers’ licenses, and welfare for illegal immigrants, as well as blocking border controls and enforcement.

  51. –

    Well, they decided not to fund an ad buy immediately. That could mean they’re giving up, or it could also mean that they don’t think it’s imperative to do so right away. Personally, I think it’s because they know that, given the choice between someone with a hard-line stance on immigration like Graf and a two-faced Democrat with a history of saying one thing to her district and another when she’s in session, especially on the issue of immigration, she’ll kill herself off.-

    If that’s the case, I’m not sure why the NRCC ran ads in favor of Graf’s primary opponent, Huffman, who had a position on immigration which was more moderate than Graf’s.

    They didn’t just decide not to fund an ad buy immediately, they canceled an ad buy they already set up. Right now the only people running ads in that district are the Minute Men. Didn’t President Bush criticize that organization earlier this year? Needless to say, I’m not sure the Minute Men are going to persuade a lot of voters in a moderate district.

    -And it could still happen; we won’t know until Election Day.-

    So you think Katherine Harris (who was begged not to run by Jeb Bush, the state GOP chairwoman, etc.) and John Spencer could win in November? How so? As boring and useless as Nelson and Clinton are, they don’t seem to be having any struggles.

    -Split power would be good if the Democrats were rational. But right now the only thing about which they care is complete, total, and irrational opposition to religion, conservatives, and Bush. –

    Even if this were true, when the GOP is often interested only in complete and total and irrational support to fundamentalist religious organizations or Bush, then that would provide a balance.

    We can all find instances of Democrats who are racist or bigoted, but that doesn’t do much to change that Webb, someone who was until recently considered a huge candidate for President in 2008, has had to battle a slew of charges of racism, with some of them, like this deer head incident, being very odd (to say the least) and corroborated by source besides Shelton.

    http://www.tnr.com/blog/show_comments.mhtml?b=theplank&pid=41592

    Personally I think Allen is going to win reelection, but I think he has done a very poor job of responding to most of these accusations and he has pretty much ensured he will have little political career outside of the Senate.

  52. —

    We can all find instances of Democrats who are racist or bigoted, but that doesn’t do much to change that Webb,–

    Oops, I meant Allen.

    Anyway, I don’t really have any use for Webb, he is just a novelty candidate. But I’m shocked at Allen’s weak campaign, I thought he would do much better than this at responding to curveballs.

  53. #51 Carl — September 28, 2006 @ 5:11 am – September 28, 2006

    Personally I think Allen is going to win reelection…

    Probably so. There are more than enough racists in Virginia to push him over the top, regardless of his Jewish heritage (of which he is obviously embarrassed).

    Gotta love what the Republican party has become.

  54. #50: “I gave you links to Webb’s admittance that he used [the N-word]”

    And there you go using that word too. By your logic, it’s proof that you’re a racist. Webb wrote a book in which characters used the N-word therefore he’d be lying if he said he never “used” the word. But he has denied ever using it in a derogatory way like Allen has. You are just lying about the Lamont campaign – they had nothing to do with Hamscher’s post, indeed it was the Lamont campaign that asked her to take the image down. I think it was a stupid mistake on Jane’s part but you are simply lying about it reflecting anything on Ned Lamont.

    As for your other two examples, I’ll defer to the judgement of the blacks quoted in the article you linked to: “there is nothing wrong with pointing out the obvious.”

    “I still have nailed the fact that”

    By not even knowing her name, the only thing you’ve “nailed” is your own ignorance on the subject. Not that it wasn’t already clear to everyone. 😉

  55. And there you go using that word too. By your logic, it’s proof that you’re a racist.

    As I pointed out above, IanRaj, that is your logic — that is, until you were confronted with Democrat usage of it, at which point you began to spin and equivocate for why it was OK for Democrats like Jim Webb to call black people “niggers” and get away with it.

    You are just lying about the Lamont campaign – they had nothing to do with Hamscher’s post, indeed it was the Lamont campaign that asked her to take the image down. I think it was a stupid mistake on Jane’s part but you are simply lying about it reflecting anything on Ned Lamont.

    Sorry, IanRaj; facts demonstrate that Hamsher is indeed a campaign operative for Lamont and operates at Lamont’s bidding.

    As for your other two examples, I’ll defer to the judgement of the blacks quoted in the article you linked to: “there is nothing wrong with pointing out the obvious.”

    Only if “the obvious” is that skin color should determine political affiliation — and virtually everyone else has decried that as racism, except for Democrats like yourself.

    By not even knowing her name, the only thing you’ve “nailed” is your own ignorance on the subject. Not that it wasn’t already clear to everyone.

    LOL……still no answer. That means, according to RajIan logic, that you admit that Giffords is a liar and Democratic puppet who supports amnesty for illegal immigrants, giving them drivers’ licenses and welfare, and blocking border controls.

  56. IanRaj in #54 – Actually the use of the N-word is “proof” of racisim by your standard which you have applied to Allen who BTW denies using the word in a derogatory way. The fact that you are so selective in applying this standard illustrates how unserious your so called arguments are.

  57. If that’s the case, I’m not sure why the NRCC ran ads in favor of Graf’s primary opponent, Huffman, who had a position on immigration which was more moderate than Graf’s.

    No one else is, either, considering that it a) backfired indirectly by exposing the fact that Huffman’s attitudes towards immigration were out of step with the district and b) directly by stirring feelings of resentment among local Republicans for interfering.

    They didn’t just decide not to fund an ad buy immediately, they canceled an ad buy they already set up.

    Again, understand — their ad buy before backfired. That would be a good reason to stay away for a bit, wouldn’t it?

    Right now the only people running ads in that district are the Minute Men. Didn’t President Bush criticize that organization earlier this year? Needless to say, I’m not sure the Minute Men are going to persuade a lot of voters in a moderate district.

    Again, Carl, you fail to grip that voters in that district are NOT moderate on the question of illegal immigration, and are much more in line with what the Minutemen are advocating.

    That’s because they, unlike northeastern liberals like IanRaj and RajIan, are dealing with the consequences of illegal immigration every day.

    IanRaj and RajIan see illegal immigrants as another population, like blacks, which they consider inferior to them in intellect — and thus can manipulate and control. They want illegal immigration to continue, and they want to give the ones already here amnesty — it really is the only chance they have to maintain their grip on power, because educated Latino citizens of the United States are not proving to be as malleable and victimizable as black Americans have been, and certainly not as reliable for votes on foolish pretext.

    Latinos laugh when IanRaj and RajIan try to tell them that anyone who disagrees with the Democratic Party or isn’t a Democrat isn’t really Latino; they can’t get Latinos to throw food or call successful conservative Latinos nasty names like they can get blacks to do. Furthermore, IanRaj and RajIan forget that immigrants, especially from Mexico, have already dealt with people like them; after all, they’ve seen Lopez Obrador, Hugo Chavez, and other leftists who blame the rich for all of society’s problems.

    In contrast, the people in the district are overrun with everything from trash dumps on ranchers’ property to overcrowded schools and overwhelmed basic services — from people who pay no Federal income tax or state tax to help fund them, who are breaking the law themselves, and who offer a ready conduit for people with more sinister intentions to exploit.

    They’re not interested in moderation. They want action, and they want it now.

    Giffords has a demonstrated record of being nothing more than a sockpuppet for Democratic leadership, as well as a habit of lying to her constituency. No one seriously believes she would do anything about illegal immigration other than to encourage it, as per orders from her liberal masters; she simply has not demonstrated the ability to stand up for her constituents. They don’t want Nancy Pelosi and her pro-amnesty views representing their district, and Giffords is nothing more than a Pelosi ventriloquism dummy.

  58. #56: “Allen who BTW denies using the word in a derogatory way.”

    Witnesses have him using the word in a derogatory way. Plus we have him on video insulting a man of color with the racial epithet “macaca”. Furthermore, we know he’s been friendly with white supremacists from the CCC because there’s a picture and statements from CCC founder Gordon Lee Baum proving it see http://www.thenation.com/doc/20060911/george_allen. Allen’s a liar AND a racist. But it’s good to know you guys support and defend him. He’s the face of the modern GOP after all.

  59. #55 here’s what you need to know about Randy Graf:

    1. From his website: “The states and the people of America need an opportunity to pass a federal constitutional amendment protecting us from the redefinition of marriage, since state by state laws cannot properly address the problem.”

    2. Graf knowingly employed as campaign manager a man who served time in jail for “corruption of minors.” Of course, when he started to get heat for it, he fired the guy. Gee, Randy, first you show abysmal judgement and then you throw your buddy under the bus.

    District 8 one of the most moderate in Arizona. Graf is a fringe wingnut which is part of the reason that Jim Kolbe can’t stand him. The idea that the national GOP cancelled their ad buy because they think he’s got it in the bag just shows conclusively how divorced NDT is from reality! It’s a clue to take with a grain of salt ANY of his bloviations.

  62. #58 Let’s see. The “witnesses” are Democrats describing something 30 years ago that they have suddenly “remembered”. Webb wrote a popular book using nigger multiple times. Yet you believe hearsay from questionable “witnesses” over the printed page available 24/7 via Amazon.

    A number of women have come forward accusing Bill Clinton of harassment, rape and illicit drug use. I suspect that you don’t believe them yet do believe the Allen accusers. On what rational basis do you determine which group of accusers to believe?

    BTW, the entire leadership of the Democrat Party has proudly, for decades, supported KKK Kleagle Robert Byrd, a lifelong Democrat and noted fan of the word nigger. Using your own standards, that’s an indictment that’s seared, seared into the very soul of the Democrat Party.

    In closing, since Allen’s accusers (being Democrats) are proven racists and liars, why should they even be given the time of day?

  63. Allen’s a liar AND a racist. But it’s good to know you guys support and defend him. He’s the face of the modern GOP after all.

    LOL….or so says the puppet who supports Jim Webb’s use of the word “nigger”, Ned Lamont’s blackface campaign ads, Ben Cardin’s racist campaign workers, and encouragement of the use of racial epithets against black conservatives by black and white Democrats.

    You denied that any of those were true, and were slapped with the links to prove it.

    So IanRaj, I will simply point out that you lie about and ignore proven, linked, and referenced examples of Democratic racism, but make numerous allegations about Republicans.

    As for your smear campaign against Graf:

    1. I too believe the American people should have the right to vote. Only puppet Democrats like yourself want to disenfranchise them.

    I am not afraid of the people who know me voting against me. It speaks volumes for you, though, that you are so terrified of what the people who know you would do.

    2. Who cares? Unless a puppet Dem like yourself is trying to argue that convicts should be punished for life — which wouldn’t surprise me, given your tendency towards hypocritical arguments.

    Finally, you puppets still live under the delusion that the voters of District 8 are so stupid that they won’t recognize Giffords as a liar and puppet of the Democratic leadership who has and will continue to support amnesty, drivers’ licenses and unlimited welfare, and blocking of border controls.

  64. #54 BoBo — September 28, 2006 @ 1:19 pm – September 28, 2006

    Actually the use of the N-word is “proof” of racisim by your standard which you have applied to Allen who BTW denies using the word in a derogatory way.

    Poor BoBo. I know that your comment was directed towards Ian, but, since you chose to draw me (raj) into it, I’ll respond.

    Quite frankly, Allen’s racist “youthful indiscretions” at University 35 or so years ago wouldn’t bother me. More than a few of us have had “youthful indiscretions” when we were children at University.

    What would bother me (I’m not a VA resident, so I can’t vote against Allen) is the not the fact that he made “youthful indiscretions” 35 years ago, but that he obviously has continued to make “youthful indiscretions,” including calling an Indian-American a monkey in public only a few weeks ago. That raises the question, just how many “youthful indiscretions” has Allen made over the intervening 35 years? None? Doubtful. A few? More likely. A lot? Most likely.

    What is even more interesting is, where did he pick up his “youthful indiscretions”? After all, he was raised in southern California, not in the Olde South. If he had been raised in the Olde South, I might understand the source of his “youthful indiscretions.” But California? No. I would conclude from that, that he is a racist through and through.

    Allen’s racism is fairly clear. Regardless, it will be interesting to see how the Republicans deal with it. I have no reason to believe that Republicans in Virginia will vote against Allen–or sit out the election–because of his racism.

  65. It’s quite revealing that RajIan three posts up (New York Times Fawns Over Islamists) engages in it’s continuing Jihad against those who don’t provide links but has completely violated the same principle in #64. So typical, so lame, so dishonest.

  66. #63: “your smear campaign against Graf”

    LOL! Some smear – the information comes from Graf’s website! BTW, I don’t think you read very carefully. Graf wants a federal Constitutional amendment passed to ban gay marriage. Last I checked, I DON’T get to vote on that. I thought you opposed the FMA. Now it looks like you support it. Can’t you make up your mind?

    As for Allen, it gets even better: now it appears he spits on women! See http://tinyurl.com/evkew But that’s not the only face of today’s GOP: one of your heroes, Mark Foley, seems to have a penchant for writing emails to 16 y.o. boys. http://tinyurl.com/ez4et Nothing wrong with that I guess but asking for the kid’s picture and commenting about how another kid “acts much older than his age” and is “in really great shape” just strikes me as a bit weird at best but may be just another face of today’s GOP.

    Finally, your lies come so thick and fast I won’t bother to enumerate them all except this one: “Ned Lamont’s blackface campaign ads”. That is a bald-faced lie. There has never been such a thing. I pick out this obvious example to demonstrate for one and all that you are never to be trusted in what you claim.

  67. #64: “just how many “youthful indiscretions” has Allen made over the intervening 35 years?”

    Well, we know that as governor, he had ties to unabashed white supremacists http://www.thenation.com/doc/20060911/george_allen. His racism spans virtually his entire life and, as you point out, he can hardly blame being raised in the South since he grew up in California. Then there’s the issue of him lying about it all. Just the face of today’s GOP, I guess.

  68. If you think that this is the “soul of the modern GOP,” then how can you support the Lynchocrats who either enslaved, lynched, or generally kept oppressed and subservient generations of black southerners, and still keep them down with their so-called “Affirmative Action”?

  70. #64 the raj/Ian writes: “Poor BoBo. I know that your comment was directed towards Ian, but, since you chose to draw me (raj) into it, I’ll respond.”

    It’s been proven conclusively that the poster “raj” and the poster “Ian” are the same character… and his less often used “blah” and now “Bukko”.

    Soxpuppet artistry is a deception well practiced by the GayLeftBorg. We’re supposed to presume comments from these posters are credible?

    LOL

  71. #70: “It’s been proven conclusively”

    Really? I must have missed that. At any rate I admit that I have been posting under two names: “Ian” and “Ian S”. It’s apparently a result of the difference in what my laptop and my main PC appear to hold in memory somewhere. I’ll change my laptop info so it won’t be so confusing for everyone. So only posts from Ian from now on.

  72. Graf wants a federal Constitutional amendment passed to ban gay marriage. Last I checked, I DON’T get to vote on that. I thought you opposed the FMA. Now it looks like you support it. Can’t you make up your mind?

    Nice try, puppet.

    As an informed citizen, I know that I vote on any Federal constitutional amendment in at least two ways: one, via choosing my representatives to Congress, and two, via choosing either my state legislators (since three-quarters of the states must approve) or delegates to constitutional conventions called by the states.

    I don’t support the FMA. But I support even less puppets like yourself who try to disenfranchise voters because they know they will lose. Again, the fact that you fear your neighbors choosing to strip you of rights is a commentary on what a pathetic, awful person you are to them, as should be obvious by the way you treat people on this blog, and how you use being gay as your excuse to do so.

    Finally, your lies come so thick and fast I won’t bother to enumerate them all except this one: “Ned Lamont’s blackface campaign ads”. That is a bald-faced lie.

    Unfortunately, Ian, you first tried to deny they existed, then that Jane Hamscher had nothing to do with the Lamont campaign.

    Now you’re trying to claim that a photo and post created by the producer of Lamont’s other commercials, who travels with and introduces Lamont, who raises money for Lamont, and who uses her blog and others as means of advertising for Lamont, is not a campaign advertisement for Lamont.

    Only a racist Democrat like yourself, who sees nothing wrong with Democrats posting blackface advertisements, racist Democratic staffers working on campaigns, and racist Democrats using slurs against conservative blacks, could buy into that theory.

    And the reason you aren’t dealing with the other “lies” is because you’ve been slapped repeatedly with the fact that they exist, links and all — after you denied it.

    Like the coward you are, you try to change the subject away from the proven, linked, credible examples of the racism of your Democratic masters to more allegations against Republicans.

    What I find really hilarious is how puppets like IanRaj whine and cry about how people releasing stories about gays having sex with babies is wrong and evil and just proves they have no intelligent contributions to make — but then tries to smear other people in exactly the same fashion.

  73. #72: All your blather aside, I still don’t get to vote on the FMA and neither do you. As for the Lamont ad question, still NO “Ned Lamont’s blackface campaign ads”. Period. Never existed. Never will.

    BTW, apparently the WaPo is about to go after Allen on his connections to the white supremacists in the CCC. Stay tuned.

  76. All your blather aside, I still don’t get to vote on the FMA and neither do you.

    Typical IanRaj; if reality doesn’t match your beliefs, ignore it.

    As for the Lamont ad question, still NO “Ned Lamont’s blackface campaign ads”. Period. Never existed. Never will.

    Same again.

    And as for Foley, he made his choice, and I applaud him for having the guts to resign.

    Furthermore, IanRaj, unless you’re equating pedophilia with homosexuality, there is no way gays will get a black eye out of this — unless you are planning to insist that Foley is gay and allegedly wants to molest teenage boys because of it.

  77. #76: “unless you’re equating pedophilia with homosexuality, there is no way gays will get a black eye out of this”

    It’s not me who equates pedophilia with homosexuality, it’s your friends like Dobson who do.

    ” — unless you are planning to insist that Foley is gay”

    Well, I was under the impression he lived with a male partner in DC.

    “and allegedly wants to molest teenage boys because of it.”

    No, that’s what your buddies in Focus on the Family will be claiming. And you will be their apologist when they do, I’m sure.

  78. LOL….you are completely clueless, aren’t you, IanRaj?

    Focus on the Family would have no grounds for claiming Foley was gay; he certainly hasn’t given them any evidence to that effect.

    Fortunately, they have moronic gays like yourself who are sitting there screaming your wild and ungrounded speculations that Foley is gay “because he lives with a male partner” to give them that evidence.

    In short, because you can’t keep your stupid mouths shut and your noses out of other peoples’ business, which is ironically what you demand THEY do, they are being handed a mountain of proof that gays are pedophiles.