I’ve seen some reports (and anecdotal emails) throughout the day that GOP turnout is higher than 2004 levels at key precincts in key states. Remember, the GOP vote turnout in 2004 was at a record level.
More evidence comes from people smarter than me that know how to work with math. Hugh Hewitt reports that his GOP insider, George Smiley, is comparing 2004 and 2006 GOP turnout statistics.
(Posted at 5:47PM Eastern) Nationally tracking turnout in precincts 60 to 80 target precincts and measuring it back against the 2002 and 2004 turnout numbers.As of this moment we have a 5% advantage compared to Dem and GOP [from 2004]. That is up from a 1/2 percentage voter turnout advantage from an hour ago.GOP base precincts are turning out higher than Dem base precincts:
- MD 3% higher
- MO 2% higher
- VA 7% higher
And, I’m hearing that the exit polling data now coming out is trash (as usual). So once again, we have to wait for the ACTUAL VOTES to be counted!