It looks like the folks who really know about weather were right: the meterologists that are guided by science and not by ideology.
If you recall, over the past two years (since Katrina) the scientific weather experts (again… they are called meterologists) including former Hurricane Center directors, were saying we were coming to the end of a 20-Year Hurricane Cycle.
They, not Al Gore, were right. 2006 and 2007 have been some of the lowest activity level for Atlantic Hurricanes in HISTORY.
With October nearly done circling the drain, I figure it is about time to bring out the broom : Northern Hemisphere tropical cyclone activity is at historically low levels .
In fact, September 2007 suffered the lowest ACE since 1977 ! Even scarier, so far 2006 and 2007 have the lowest October ACE since 1976 and 1977. And, unnaturally, Sept-Oct 2007 is the lowest since 1977.
Yet, the tropical cyclone season was not shaping up to be such a ghastly bust. For about a week in June, NH ACE was exceeding climatology but then bit the proverbial dust until mid-August when a noticeable comeback ensued. It has been downhill since.
So, a naysayer over at the Huffington Post or the Daily Green may wonder why we use such metrics such as ACE/PDI or Tropical Cyclone days when we could use better metrics like number of category 5’s making landfall or storms that have intensified the fastest or perhaps number of pumpkins.
There are even some spooky hints that the 2007 (Atlantic) Tropical Cyclone season is being “spun” to appear “dead” and inconsistent with the predominant trend. Also, a “storm pundit” would remind that us that the year is not in the grave and we may see hyper-activity (a.k.a. global warming proof) to come.
*cue dramatic music*
Global Warming enters the room with flowing black cape behind: “Dammit all to Hell. How am I supposed to live up to my end of the bargain with Al Gore when God keeps throwing us curve balls? Gore and I will never be able to completely brainwash those stupid humans at this rate!”