Now that the 2008 Election is in full steam (i.e. — voters are actually voting as opposed to pundits blathering), I’ve paid much more attention to the campaign strategies, the televised debates, and Iowa voting turnout and the issues that were important to Iowa voters.
My preferred candidate, former NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani, has chosen to mostly skip Iowa and New Hampshire and mostly focus on the Super Tuesday/Big States voting on Feb. 5th. On the face of it, it seems like a good strategy given the compressed voting schedule this year. However, as we are seeing on the Democratic side with Obama, momentum can play a huge factor in the next voting state following a win or loss in the last state.
Time Magazine weighs in today: Is Giuliani Waiting Too Long?
The problem for Rudy Giuliani, the onetime front-runner in the G.O.P. race for President, is that he keeps writing himself out of the movie.
After spending 40 days in the state, however, Giuliani is now spending minimally on ads in New Hampshire and has largely put his wallet away, saving his money for later contests. Yet the risk Giuliani is taking by all but kissing off another state is considerable.
After Huckabee’s victory in Iowa, the G.O.P. is searching frantically for an establishment candidate to take him on and appeal to independents — a hunt made all the more urgent by the success of Barack Obama, who also does well with independents. But because he isn’t really contesting New Hampshire, Giuliani is not really part of that new and worried sweepstakes — remarkable for someone who proclaimed himself the national front-runner for so long.
It is probably still too early to know since the Republican side could be still muddled by Feb. 5th. But every news cycle where Rudy isn’t a factor can’t be a good thing for his nomination prospects.