GOP Reality Check

12 Comments »

1. Right now, I’m thinking John McCain has the edge although it is easy to see Republicans finally settling on Mitt. It’s hard to know anything about Rudy’s future until Florida is done. All things considered, I probably like Fred best, but I just don’t see a way forward for him, and assuming most of his other supporters feel the same, they will probably go to Mitt, which is why Mitt now has such a good chance to win it. However, with Rudy likely to win much of the Mid-Atlantic and John McCain likely to continue grabbing lots of delegates even if Mitt picks up steam, it’s likely that no one will win a majority of delegates during the primary season.

   Ultimately, if within the next couple weeks Republicans start feeling more scared about our chances in November, they’ll go with McCain. If Republicans start feeling more confident (i.e., the Dem contest turns really ugly and both Obama and Hillary start looking unelectable), they’ll go with Mitt.

   Comment by cme — January 22, 2008 @ 7:15 am - January 22, 2008

2. I still think the ticket in November willbe

   Guiliani/Thompson

   Let’s get real, the only street fighter in the group is Rudy, and she will fight so dirty. Our nominee needs to be able to fight right with her, and the only one who has experience in this field is Rudy.

   Comment by patriotMom — January 22, 2008 @ 7:35 am - January 22, 2008

3. #2
   She who?

   Comment by ThatGayConservative — January 22, 2008 @ 11:16 am - January 22, 2008

4. Hillary of course, TGC.

   By the way, this clip is fun to watch - Hillary and Obama both being lying evasive crapweasels, at each other’s expense:
   http://tpmelectioncentral.com/2008/01/video_tensions_finally_boil_over_between_hillary_and_obama.php

   The crowd boos Hillary’s nasty shot, that the clip ends with. But I think she will win over Obama, in the end.

   Comment by ILoveCapitalism — January 22, 2008 @ 1:42 pm - January 22, 2008

5. How come the numbers are all wonky compared to before? They all seem to have lower numbers than earlier.

   Comment by ThatGayConservative — January 22, 2008 @ 2:20 pm - January 22, 2008

6. Clearly a poll divorced from reality, more people thought Thompson would win than Paul, and Thompson is out.

   Comment by Crow — January 22, 2008 @ 3:51 pm - January 22, 2008

7. Crow, I agree Thompson is done… but just for the record, for better or for worse, the Republican Party would still nominate Thompson long before it nominated Paul. It won’t ever nominate Paul. (And IMO, shouldn’t.)

   Comment by ILoveCapitalism — January 22, 2008 @ 4:03 pm - January 22, 2008

8. IOW, both Thompson’s votes here and Paul’s, are unrealistic.

   What I came to add: It’s fascinating: No matter what else “we” (so far) may think, no one thinks the Huckster will win it.

   Comment by ILoveCapitalism — January 22, 2008 @ 4:48 pm - January 22, 2008

9. Wow! A Huckster vote or two shows up, this morning

   Comment by ILoveCapitalism — January 23, 2008 @ 12:12 pm - January 23, 2008

10. Some Fun with Math.

    This poll doesn’t tell us how many votes were cast. But, right now, the Huckster has 3.1%; Crazy Uncle Ron 4.6%; and Phred 6.1%. Allowing for rounding, that is almost a simple 2:3:4 ratio.

    Which suggests they have each gotten 2, 3 and 4 votes respectively, and the total number of votes is around 65 right now.

    Comment by ILoveCapitalism — January 23, 2008 @ 12:18 pm - January 23, 2008

11. Modern Conservatism began with Barry Goldwater, not Ronald Reagan. I wish Ron Paul was 40 years younger, but he is not, and he is raising valuable points that make all the other candidates uncomfortable. But lets just evaluate the candidates on likability. No one likes Hillary on our side. Who is the best candidate to balance that likability factor. It is McCain.-Huckabee. Presidents are really measured by the skill of the staff and appointments that surround them. Bush really just picked some bad advice givers. Our next President will have to pick lots of advisers. I trust McCain’s instincts in picking the right people around him.

    I wish Romney had not projected the image of himself that seems to be in my mind of the ruthless corporate takeover man and presented himself as a very successful governor and administrator. but he has not, so. his likability is impaired at this point.

    Guliani is cooked ( my original choice).

    Let us as Gay Conservatives find a common voice to support the candidate or candidates that would most likely appeal to the independent voter that really picks the President of the USA. Not many in the category are there?

    Comment by Tom In Dallas — January 25, 2008 @ 9:07 am - January 25, 2008

12. Why must there be all this killing, why can’t we have peace in the valley?

    Comment by Tom In Dallas — January 25, 2008 @ 9:09 am - January 25, 2008

RSS feed for comments on this post. TrackBack URI

Leave a comment

Live preview of comment