NC PRIMARY POLL SHOCKER
CLINTON LEADS OBAMA

15 Comments »

1. I’m sorry. I just couldn’t get past the Telegraph’s headline. I almost fell out of my chair laughing.

   Sure Snobama can “transform America’s image”, but is that an image we really want?

   Comment by ThatGayConservative — May 1, 2008 @ 1:57 am - May 1, 2008

2. The current DNC talking point is that the Clinton vs. Obama race is actually helping the Democrats by increasing turnout and enthusiasm.
   The fact is that this didn’t happen in Pennsylvania: the state’s Democratic primary turnout was just over 50% (good, but not great). Pundits are actually saying that Obama’s disappointing turnout in Philadelphia’s black wards contribute to his defeat in PA.
   Any comments?

   Comment by JEC — May 1, 2008 @ 7:42 am - May 1, 2008

3. Rasmussen Reports
   Date: 4/28
   North Carolina
   Added: 4/30/08
   Est. MoE = 3.5% [?]

   Barack Obama 51%
   Hillary Clinton 37%
   Unsure 12%
   Source http://www.usaelectionpolls.com/2008/north-carolina.html

   Comment by DD2 — May 1, 2008 @ 9:05 am - May 1, 2008

4. Shoot, it didn’t help the GOP candidates, would a higher turn out really help either of these two? I thought I heard on Hannity yesterday that neither will have enough deligates and it will be up to the super-dels. If that is the news, wouldn’t it hinder voter turnout?

   Comment by A Different Peter H — May 1, 2008 @ 10:17 am - May 1, 2008

5. Perspective on that IA poll.

   @2: And as for Pennysylvania, when looking at turnout, you need to look at more than one number. TNR column:

   Amidst all the statistics clamoring for attention during the last six weeks of 24/7 Pennsylvania primary coverage, there’s one key number that hasn’t gotten the attention it deserves: 306,918. That’s the number of new Democrats added to the voter rolls in Pennsylvania between January 1 and the voter registration deadline on March 24. 146,166 first-time voters joined the party and 160,752 switched their registration from Republican or Independent to Democrat. (A mere 39,019 first-time voters joined the Republicans.)

   However, this raises a logical question: what about the Rush effect?

   And the fact that most of the new Democrats are coming from Philadelphia and the surrounding suburbs offsets the reports from more conservative mid-state counties that voters might be switching as a result of Rush Limbaugh’s “Operation Chaos,” in which his “Dittoheads” register as Democrats to mess with the primary results. In those counties - Limbaugh country - the number of new Democrats is markedly lower.

   Possible takeaway?

   The new Democrats have pushed the party’s total past the four million mark - a historic first for any party in the state’s history. Those voters have the potential to change the results from Pennsylvania dramatically… in the general election in November.

   All true? All media guesswork? Possibly, but the voter reg. numbers are real.

   and @3: That has been the situation for months. It hasn’t hurt registration or turnout yet, with the above as an example.

   Comment by torrentprime — May 1, 2008 @ 11:31 am - May 1, 2008

6. Odd, I thought ADPH’s post was #3. Sorry: my last line is @4, I guess.

   Comment by torrentprime — May 1, 2008 @ 11:33 am - May 1, 2008

7. I heard on H&C yesterday that the poll that had Hillary ahead underestimated black vote, and the other poll had them tied. Either way it’s bad (good).

   Comment by Mitchell Blatt — May 1, 2008 @ 11:38 am - May 1, 2008

8. #7 — Correct, and thanks for that addition. As you say, either way it is bad for Obama. Even Rasmussen said there has been critical erosion in Obama’s white support in NC.

   Comment by GayPatriot — May 1, 2008 @ 11:59 am - May 1, 2008

9. Bruce, it’s going to get worse for snObama. Looks like the moderator for Hillary’s next town hall meeting in the Tarheel State is her former WH spokesman.

   Wonder if ABC will run a disclaimer that Steffy used to be employed by Madame Voldemort? Ten to one says they don’t.

   Regards,
   Peter H.

   Comment by Peter Hughes — May 1, 2008 @ 6:08 pm - May 1, 2008

10. Oh what a great night that would be if she were to win NC, I could use a Hillary upset win. Obama’s lose of white support is coming through in all of the polls, he used to have an average of 15 percent lead and now it is down to 7 percent according to the RCP. Hillary keeping him to single digits will be a good night for her, especially when everyone thought he would be winning it by like 20.

    She usually does very well with the undecides, she will most likely win them and that should make it a close race. If the youth vote and black vote becomes depressed because of his collasping performances as of late, you could see her pulling this off.

    He will have a rough time till OR if he loses both states on Tuesday, thats probably his next firewall state.

    Comment by Darkeyedresolve — May 1, 2008 @ 9:18 pm - May 1, 2008

11. All these extra Democrat registrations are gonna melt away when one or the other Dems lose. Either the women are gonna be upset because the first viable female candidate lost to Barack. Or the supporters of Obama will be mad enough to not vote for Ms Clinton in November. McCain isn’t the polarizing figure the liberals would like to run against. So the result will be a very winable election for the Republicans. The House and Senate is a different story.

    Comment by Gene in Pennsylvania — May 1, 2008 @ 10:38 pm - May 1, 2008

12. Gene: I think we’re supposed to believe that so many members of the Republican party got so frustrated with the party’s corruption, with the way the Republicans were spending money, with the way they weren’t accomplishing anything in Congress, with the way Bush and Congress were establishing new entitlements… that having gotten alienated and rejected by the Republican leadership that these voters now flock to the Democrat party, because everyone knows those are the issues that the Democrats really shine in.

    Comment by Vince P — May 1, 2008 @ 11:04 pm - May 1, 2008

13. This is a great video demostrating how unfit to led Democrats are.

    This video is concerned with the Detroit City Council (I think).

    US Congressman Conyer’s wife is in the body. and she’s filmed calling someone she’s fight withing on the floor, “Shrek”. In the next clip schol kids come to visit the city council and these little kids absolutely destroy the Congressmans wife and sets her in her place

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yiogXT9xZBQ

    After the episode of the fight is shown.. they then focus on the Obama and their hard gruielling

    Comment by Vince P — May 1, 2008 @ 11:39 pm - May 1, 2008

14. lol @ Madame Voldemort.

    Comment by American Elephant — May 2, 2008 @ 1:23 am - May 2, 2008

15. #14 - AE, I aim to please.

    Regards,
    Peter H.

    Comment by Peter Hughes — May 2, 2008 @ 2:49 pm - May 2, 2008

RSS feed for comments on this post. TrackBack URI

Leave a comment

Live preview of comment