Whenever I peruse the political blogs, I find various pundits and bloggers offering numerous theories why Hillary Clinton persists in her quest for the Democratic presidential nomination. Some say she’s setting the stage for a campaign in ’12, believing her current rival will lose this fall to the presumptive Republican nominee, others see her as positioning herself as a Senate leader for the balance of her career. Others just think she’s a delusional megalomaniac.
While I don’t disagree with that last description, but still think the former First Lady really believes she can still win this thing. Her campaign is once again claiming she has won more popular votes than her Illinois colleague (which is true of you count Michigan (where he wasn’t even on the ballot)). Given that she leads in Kentucky by larger margins than he leads in Oregon — and that Kentucky is a larger state, she should win the combined popular vote of today’s primaries by a comfortable margin.
Yesterday in Maysville, Kentucky, she said she has a better chance than Obama to win 270 electoral votes this fall, then added she is going to make her case “until we have a nominee, but we’re not going to have one today and we’re not going to have one tomorrow and we’re not going to have one the next day. And if Kentucky turns out tomorrow, we’re going to be closer to that nomination.”
She’s going to give up after today’s contests. She may well end the day just a hundred thousand votes shy of leading Obama in the popular vote with Florida, but without Michigan. And that may give her ground to continue her campaign even past the last primary.
UPDATE: In a post with a theme somewhat similar to this one, Jim Geraghty writes, “Hillary’s gameplan from here on out has to be to narrow the margin of the popular vote, under any count, as much as possible when all the primaries are completed.” Read the whole thing.