While Dick Morris expects undecideds to break for McCain, I’ve been trying to figure out how they’ll break on Proposition 8.Â Â I wonder if some who indicate they’re undecided have already made up their mind, but refuse to tell pollsters because they fear they won’t give the response, they expect, the pollster wants to hear.
That could mean “Yes” is a stronger position than the polls indicate.
Or, could those undecided voters do what I (and other Californians) do when they’re uncertain about ballot propositions, vote “No.”Â Or, given the number of issues on this year’s ballot in the Golden State, will they not even get that far and not vote in that race?
In the end, Californians being who we are, I think it’ll boil down to a libertarian argument.Â If undecideds see the initiative as preventing gay people from exercising their freedom, then they’ll vote against it.Â If the see state recognition of gay marriage as forcing us to accept gay marriage, they’ll vote in favor.
Both sides played in this “libertarian” notion.Â The first “Yes” ad using San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newsom’s words to say we’d get gay marriage “whether we liked it or not.”Â The third “No” ad showed respect for opponents of gay marriage with this line, â€œBecause regardless of how you feel about marriage, it’s wrong to treat people differently under the law.â€
The “No” side would be in a better position had it built on that notion, showing a respect for those who believe marriage is between one man and one woman, but, at the same time, don’t want to prevent same-sex couples from seeking state recognition of their unions.
That’s why I believe the “No” side would have been better served had it used freedom or liberty in its slogan, instead of equality.
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