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ELECTION NIGHT 2008 — LIVE BLOGGING

Posted by Bruce Carroll at 6:40 pm - November 4, 2008.
Filed under: 2008 Presidential Politics

***ELECTION ALERT:  SAXBY (Chambliss) WINS RE-ELECTION IN GEORGIA***

Hey gang!  My sincere thanks for the hearty posting that Dan has done for most of the pre-Election period.  THANKS DAN.   You can all see and hear Dan and his election analysis tonight at PajamasMedia TV.   Dan will be at PJTV’s Los Angeles HQ this evening.

I will use this posting for occassional updates throughout the night.  Feel free to comment at will.  First big states to close:  Indiana, North Carolina, Virginia.

Buckle in, folks!

6:50 PM EASTERN – We have a very hot Governor’s race and US Senate race here in North Carolina.  I’ll be keeping special attention to those races for you.

7:09 PM – FOX News’ Major Garrett reports that the Obama campaign is not encouraged about picking up North Carolina.  “The Republican turnout around Charlotte has been heavy” — according to Major.   Well, we did our part!

7:58 PM – WIth about 18% of the vote in so far in North Carolina — Obama – 55%, McCain – 44%.   In the US Senate race, Hagan (D) – 57%, Dole (R) – 42%.   And in the NC Governor’s race – Perdue (D) – 53%, McCrory (R) – 44%.

8:00 PM – SHOCKING!  Massachusetts, DC, Illinois and Maryland called for Barack Obama by FOX.

8:21 PM – Election Night coverage had to take a break — Saxby and Shadow needed a walk around the neighborhood.

(more…)

I Voted “No” on 8

Just so that clears up any misunderstanding among my readers.

And yes, I did waver toward the end, but took the image of my friends Leesa and Jane into the voting booth with me.  These two ladies get what marriage is.

And why did I waver?  Three reasons:

  1. I wanted to overturn the state Supreme Court decision
  2. I was frustrated at the disrespect many on the “No” campaign showed for supporters of traditional marriage
  3. I respect that traditional understanding; gender difference has long defined the institution

I would rather the legislature had decided this after asking the people to repeal Prop. 22. But, if we vote today to defeat 8, we will have effectively repealed 22. And the legislature has voted.

Can John McCain Win?

Posted by GayPatriotWest at 3:00 pm - November 4, 2008.
Filed under: 2008 Presidential Politics

It has heartened me over the past few days to hear (or read) a number of Republican (and conservative) friends and blog-readers report their “good feeling” about this election, with a number expressing optimism about the outcome.  They think John McCain could win this.

I’d always thought the polls exaggerated Obama’s support, but the real question is by how much.

There have been some signs of movement toward the Republican in the campaign’s closing days, particularly in the “swing” states.  I have long believed the undecideds would break for McCain (as does Dick Morris).  Some may well not be true undecideds, but just voters unwilling to come out against the candidate the media prefers.

Recall that in the Democratic primaries this past spring, the undecideds broke, in some cases by pretty hefty margins, against Obama.

And there will be those, like me in the California Republican primary earlier this year, who vote with their gut.  I’ve always thought such “gut-voters” would favor John McCain.

So, to answer the question posed in the title to this post, yes, John McCain can win.  Would I bet on it?  Given that the odds are longer and the return greater, I just might.

Media Bias in this Election

Posted by GayPatriotWest at 2:18 pm - November 4, 2008.
Filed under: 2008 Presidential Politics,Media Bias

Not long ago, a critical reader observed that most of my posts that week had focused on media bias.  He was right.  I have written a lot about that in this campaign.

In their election day roundup, Pajamas linked Roger Aronoff’s post finding “the mainstream media were overwhelmingly in the tank for Barack Obama, and did their part to make sure he will be elected.

Howard Kurtz finds the same thing going on on TV Talk shows: “If anyone doubts there is a liberal entertainment establishment, it has been vividly on display:”

the McCain ticket was the target of 475 jokes by Letterman and Leno from Sept. 1 to Oct. 24, while the Obama ticket was zinged just 69 times, according to the Center for Media and Public Affairs. McCain just can’t catch a break in the pop culture wars.

(Via Victorino Matus at the Weekly Standard.)

The media fawn all over Obama while grilling John McCain. It seems the Arizona Senator gained nothing from making himself accessible to the media over the years, offering choice sound-bytes critical of his fellow Republicans when the MSM wanted to show divisions in the GOP.

It doesn’t seem John McCain was prepared for this “betrayal.” He did not realize that this time, to get his message out, he’d need to go around the media not through them as he had in the past.

As this campaign drew to a close, just look at two stories the MSM (with a few notable exceptions) has all but ignored.

  • In an interview with the San Francisco Chronicle, Obama had said his environmental policies could cause energy prices to skyrocket, possibly bankrupting coal companies.  The national media gave the story short shrift. Local media, particularly in coal-producing regions, do seem to have picked this up.
  • The Obama campaign disabled AVS, an Automated Verification System, for online donations. Disabling AVS safeguards disabled makes it easier for foreigners to donate (illegally) and for others to donate multiple times (with their combined donations possibly exceeding legal limits). Given that Obama refused public financing, you’d think the MSM would want to make sure that Obama complied with the law in raising his funds. But, they’ve barely covered the story.

I suspect that we’ll hear a lot about this fund-raising scandal after the election. And we may even learn that the Democrat spent more money than it raised.

My Changing Opinions of Barack Obama

Posted by GayPatriotWest at 1:15 pm - November 4, 2008.
Filed under: 2008 Presidential Politics,Obama Watch

As Barack Obama emerged as the frontrunner in the Democratic primary this past February, I imagined a different Election Day than years past.  I wouldn’t be as nervous about the outcome because I thought the Democratic nominee would be a unifying figure.  Given all the racial ugliness in our nation’s history, the thought of a black president warmed my heart.  A symbol of how far we have come.

But, as the campaign progressed, my doubts began to grow.  I continued to respect his intelligence and the respect he showed for conservative ideas (see e.g., this post), but became aware of his left-wing record voting record and concerned by his habit of dodging tough questions.

He was cagey rather than candid in addressing his 20-year relationship with Reverend Jeremiah Wright.  Then, he began to show incredible arrogance right after he locked up the Democratic presidential nomination.  First, it was his faux presidential campaign seal, then his presumptuous speech in Berlin.

At the same time, he began changing his positions on key issues so fast, one wondered if he held to any of the positions which had so inspired his followers early in the campaign.  And the biggest flip-flop was his decision to refuse public financing when he had been so explicit about his intention to take such financing.

And now all these stories emerge about his campaign disabling the security safeguards for on-line credit card donations.  We can’t trace many of his contributions, don’t know whether or not he violated federal law.

As a result of all this, I trust Barack Obama a lot less than I did when I first started following this election and I’m now wary of an Obama victory.

Related: Stephen Green (Vodkapundit) thinks Obama has run the dirtiest campaign since Nixon.

Schumer Can’t Distinguish Political Speech from Porn

Posted by GayPatriotWest at 1:00 pm - November 4, 2008.
Filed under: Free Speech,Freedom

Favoring the so-called Fairness Doctrine which would limit access to the airwaves, the New York Senator opines:

Should the Democrats wins today and attempt to impose this antiquated doctrine, watch for it to galvanize the right.  May help Americans see the true nature of all too many on the left, eager to use the government to silence their critics. (H/t Michelle Malkin).

VOTE, VOTE, VOTE

Posted by Bruce Carroll at 11:44 am - November 4, 2008.
Filed under: Post 9-11 America

Today is a day that relatively few people in the history of humankind have had — the opportunity to choose, if indirectly, their own leaders.   We all have the Founding Fathers of the USA to thank for this day and for spreading the idea of liberty and freedom across the globe.

I cast my vote for John McCain and Sarah Palin about a week ago in North Carolina’s early voting.  I think I made it clear during the past year that I am no fan of John McCain.  I wasn’t voting FOR McCain so much as voting HEARTILY AGAINST Obama.  The last time I had to choose the “lesser of two evils” (1996) — I chose wrong.  I could not make that mistake twice.

To those of you who haven’t voted yet today — do not let anything get in your way.  Not the weather, not an obnoxious and loud Obama supporter who threatens you, not an old poll worker who doesn’t know what year it is.  NOTHING.   Your vote is sacred.  Treat it as such and make sure others know you are.

I fear for our nation like no other period in my lifetime.  I’ve always been proud of my country, but never before feared the mere existence of it.  I do today.  I hope the American people have looked into the eyes of an empty suit being manipulated from the shadows and realize that John McCain is the right choice for this time.

God Bless America.

-Bruce (GayPatriot)

Election Day Thought

Frantic scribbler that I am, I have pages and pages of notes on all variety of subjects, including countless ideas for blog posts.  I’ll have to scrap those which relate to the election as the results will make them moot.

I won’t get to all of them the things I wanted to blog on before the election.  In this, my first post after waking on Election Day (I had written the two prior pieces before bed and scheduled them to post this morning), I offer a thought on how to handle the results.

I still think John McCain can win this.  Should that happen, to my supporters on the blog, I say:  do not gloat.  Yes, there are many mean-spirited Obama supporters, but many, many more are voting for him in good faih, believing his election would be in the national interest.

Should Obama win, to my adversaries I say:  do not gloat.  Understand the task at hand, of uniting our nation after a bitter election.  Know that we opposed Obama for a great variety of factors.  Appreciate the sincerity of our concerns about the Illinois Senator.

Finally, whoever wins, he will be our president, the president of all Americans, those who voted for him and those who voted against him.  We should all want him to succeed because we want America to succeed.

John McCain: Mensch

Both John Hinderaker and Glenn Reynolds remind me of a story I’d heard many times before, a story which defines the man who should be the next President of the United States.

As Morris Udall, a long-serving Democratic Representative from Arizona, like John McCain, lay dying from Parkinson’s disease in a veterans hospital in Northeast Washington, one man would stop by to pay his respects on a regular basis:

Udall is seldom conscious, and even then he shows no sign of recognition. McCain brings with him a stack of newspaper clips on Udall’s favorite subjects: local politics in Arizona, environmental legislation, Native American land disputes, subjects in which McCain initially had no particular interest himself. Now, when the Republican senator from Arizona takes the floor on behalf of Native Americans, or when he writes an op-ed piece arguing that the Republican Party embrace environmentalism, or when the polls show once again that he is Arizona’s most popular politician, he remains aware of his debt to Arizona’s most influential Democrat.

. . . .

A nurse entered and seemed surprised to find anyone there, and it wasn’t long before I found out why: Almost no one visits anymore. In his time, which was not very long ago, Mo Udall was one of the most-sought-after men in the Democratic Party. Yet as he dies in a veterans hospital a few miles from the Capitol, he is visited regularly only by a single old political friend, John McCain. “He’s not going to wake up this time,” McCain said.

There is a term we Jews have for the type of man who does what John McCain did: mensch.  I can still remember when my Dad first used the term and I asked him what it meant.  It was the best compliment you could pay to a person, a fully realized human being.

The Interminable Campaign Draws to a Close

Posted by GayPatriotWest at 6:30 am - November 4, 2008.
Filed under: 2008 Presidential Politics

While candidates in the past election years have announced their White House bids in the months immediately after the preceding mid-term elections, no campaign has seen the flurry of electoral activity so far in advance of the general election.

The first Democratic candidates debate took place over eighteen months ago on April 26, 2007 in Orangeburg, South Carolina.  (I don’t know why I remember the first such exchange being in Nevada).

The first cauci and primary were held a year before Inauguration Day, with the fields whittled down before the Tsuanmi Tuesday series of primaries and cauci.  The candidates who, one year ago, appeared likely to be their parties’ standard bearers are not standing today.  A Republican who trailed in all polls and whose candidacy was written off at this time last year has become his party’s nominee.

In the course of this campaign, my opinion of that man, John McCain, has changed from one of doubt to respect.

For all this campaign’s length, I don’t see it as becoming a defining election like those of 1896, 1932, 1968 or 1980 which reshaped the political landscape.

Never before have we experienced a crisis of the magnitude of the mortgage meltdown in the middle of a presidential campaign.  That more than anything may come to define this election.  When the candidates first debated, we all thought the Iraq War would be one of the most important issues of campaign.  Now, thanks to the success of the surge, it hardly registers among voters.

All that said, I don’t think this campaign has served our nation well.  It drew our attention away from the business of government, with the candidates (save John McCain on Iraq) posturing for political advantage rather than looking out for the national interest.  We shouldn’t spend this much time electing a president.

Ths interminable campaign has proven more divisive than perhaps any other prior contest.  The task now for the winner will be to unite the nation.  And given the bitter feelings on both sides, that’s going to take some doing.

Palin Exonerated in “Troopergate”

Too late perhaps to save her public image?  Will it be lost in the welter of stories about the arrival of the much anticipated Election Day concluding (we hope) this interminable campaign?

Perhaps.  But, at least it vindicates those of us confident of Sarah Palin’s integrity.  Her record as a reformer remains intact.

Yesterday, the Alaska Personnel Board released a report exonerating the Alaska Governor “in the Troopergate controversy,” finding that she was “within her rights to fire Public Safety Commissioner Walt Monegan.”  More that just exonerate the Governor, this new report faults a previous report commissioned by a committee of the state legislature (which voted to release the report without approving it):

. . .  the new report says the Legislature’s investigator was wrong to conclude that Palin abused her power by allowing aides and her husband, Todd, to pressure Monegan and others to dismiss her ex-brother-in-law, Trooper Mike Wooten. Palin was accused of firing Monegan after Wooten stayed on the job.
. . . .

[Timothy] Petumenos -an independent investigator hired by the personnel board] wrote the Legislature’s special counsel, former state prosecutor Steve Branchflower, used the wrong state law as the basis for his conclusions and also misconstrued the evidence.

Petumenos found “no cause to believe” that Palin or any other state official violated the state’s ethics law in this matter.

Noting that “Monegan won’t get a hearing from the Personnel Board to ‘clear his reputation’,” Ed Morrissey asks, “Where does Palin go to clear hers after this tempest in a teapot?

Certainly not the mainstream media who are likely to bury this report.  Whenever evidence emerges showing that they attacked unfairly, well, they run a quick story and quickly move along.