GayPatriot

The Internet home for American gay conservatives.

Can John McCain Win?

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It has heartened me over the past few days to hear (or read) a number of Republican (and conservative) friends and blog-readers report their “good feeling” about this election, with a number expressing optimism about the outcome.  They think John McCain could win this.

I’d always thought the polls exaggerated Obama’s support, but the real question is by how much.

There have been some signs of movement toward the Republican in the campaign’s closing days, particularly in the “swing” states.  I have long believed the undecideds would break for McCain (as does Dick Morris).  Some may well not be true undecideds, but just voters unwilling to come out against the candidate the media prefers.

Recall that in the Democratic primaries this past spring, the undecideds broke, in some cases by pretty hefty margins, against Obama.

And there will be those, like me in the California Republican primary earlier this year, who vote with their gut.  I’ve always thought such “gut-voters” would favor John McCain.

So, to answer the question posed in the title to this post, yes, John McCain can win.  Would I bet on it?  Given that the odds are longer and the return greater, I just might.

Comments

  1. Well Rass. Reports polls out of the battleground states and all were in the margin of error, so this could be more like the 64 election. Johnson eeked out small wins, by maybe a single point, in most states and gave him a big electoral win. So it might just be a last minute surge of McCain could put him up by a few votes would allow him to take several of those states.

    It has tightened up at the end, but who knows if it is a enough. I just know that this election has always been about bucking the conventional wisdom. I wouldn’t be surprised if McCain’s win and Republicans holding on to the presidency is the final surprise of the campaign season.

  2. I think that in the excitement, all the Obama supporters voted early and so the polls are skewed. I’m hoping today is McCain’s day. The downside of that happening is probably rioting…

  3. PA is an important state. They do not have early voting and this uncomfortable feeling can not be isolated to a few “wise gay men”.

    I suspect we will hear good news from PA.

    I think anyone who goes to work everyday and is a patriot cannot help but vote for Senator McCain.

    Peter, turmoil will occur in the streets WIN or LOSE! Urban areas prove that every time their sport team wins a championship. Just last week after the pennant was won cars were set afire and vandalism was the preferred method of “celebration”.

    God Bless America!

    jeb

  5. I find it interesting that everywhere McCain went to campaign, Obama was not far behind. It was like Obama was shadowing McCain for some reason!

    Also, the liberal news media has totally ignored the values based voters. They are the ones that may actually tip the scales in McCain’s favor. As Nixon once coined the phrase, “The Silent Majority”.

    Yes, I have a good feeling about this. A McCain win may be the beginning of the end of the corrupt news media. Their advertising revenues and circulations are going down the toilet. The only ones making BIG money from ads is Foxnews or News Corporation, talk radio and Google!