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Americans Abandoning Democratic Party?

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Last week, when I saw Rasmussen reported that for “the second straight week . . . Republican candidates . . . lead Democrats by a single point this week in the Generic Congressional Ballot,” I noticed, when perusing the actual numbers, that this was not so much a shift to the GOP, but rather a shift from the Democrats.

To note, in Rasmussen’s last pre-election poll (11-02-08), Democrats led 47-41, while last week (05-10-09), they had fallen to a 39-40 deficit.  The Democrats had fallen 8 points while the GOP tally was virtually unchanged.

Today, Jim Geraghty has a post which appears to confirm that slippage, linking a Gallup poll which shows parity for the parties, significant slippage for the Democrats, insignificant for the GOP:

Their most recent poll, conducted May 7–10, splits 32 percent for each party, with 34 percent for independents. When they press the independents for which party they lean towards, it comes out to another split, this time 45 percent for each.

Perhaps, when the Republican Party, just now beginning to show some signs of life, regains some of the credibility it lost when it abandoned the principles which defined it, it can gain from the Democrats’ losses.

For now, it appears, the the American people have lost confidence in both parties.  Should that mistrust increase, it can only benefit the party out of power, now the GOP, as it benefitted the Democrats in 2006 and 2008.

Because memories of the most recent Republican President are still fresh, perhaps people still don’t see the GOP as the out-of-power party.

Comments

  1. Some slippage was bound to happen generally. I’ve heard/read statements from Democratic moderates and hard leftists who vote Democrat that indicate dissatisfaction: too fiscally, ethically, and socially irresponsible and not fiscally, ethically, and socially irresponsible enough, respectively. With smart planning (OK, I’m talking Republicans here — a guy can dream, can’t he?), the GOP can drive several obvious wedges between the mainstream, Main Street Democrats and the Greenwich (It Takes A Village) Village Democrats. While the conventional wisdom is to trend to the middle to capture majorities, reality is alienating the true left from the Democratic mainstream. In states with open primaries, voting Green Party helps the GOP.

  2. Look for 6 months polls are showing Obamateleprompter is the most polarizing divisive President in 100 years. He promised to bring America together. Who believed that? The most liberal Senator in Congress. Clear thinking adults knew exactly what to expect from this crowd. Obama tapped Biden…boob and gaffe machine. Obama picked his transition team….boobs chose Richardson who is about to be prosecuted for pay to play in NM, and vetted THREE Commerce Sec. Picked and vetted tax cheats like Geithner and Sebelious. But Obama doesn’t learn. He’s considering Gov Granholm from MI for the Supreme Court! The woman ran Michigans economy into the ground for 8 years! She is hated in Michigan by reps and dems alike. In the Democrat Party the more stupid and inane you are the bigger the promotion. Pelosi, Reid, Granholm, Biden, OBAMA. hehe
    How do you bring a country together when your administration is populated by boobs dummies crooks and morons. The eight point drop in Democrat adherants is because more and more of em don’t want to be lumped in with the likes of those surrounding Obama. And HE”S THE ONE WHO PICKED EM!!. Obamas’ ratings will follow.

  5. “I noticed, when perusing the actual numbers, that this was not so much a shift to the GOP, but rather a shift from the Democrats.”

    And Dan, don’t expect the Drool-By Media to notice this type of shift. Unlike, say, during the post-2004 election period, where it seemed they focused on GWB’s poll numbers every day.

    Bias? What liberal media bias?

    Regards,
    Peter H.

  6. Hey, who bloody cares?

    It’s been 100+ days and counting and Osama bin Laden is still FREE! I want my money back for all those Democrat Party campaign spokescharacters who claimed that Bush-Cheney had failed to bring the 9-11 terrorist-in-Chief to justice.

    100+ days and Osama is still free! I know he wasn’t hiding at Notre Dame (although some the faculty there could double for him, ideologically & politically speaking).

    Obama’s headin’ out to Europe later… he needs to skip any meetings there and get on some desert camo and start looking!

  7. I hadn’t heard about his considering Granholm for SCOTUS. That would suck. She only got elected because she and Kilpatrick bought the Detroit votes…. and screwed the rest of us. We have our own “special” name for her here: Granwhore. She’s dumb as a box of rocks and useless as…. never mind.

    Good grief. I may have to consider fleeing to Canada or something. They didn’t want her, so it’s marginally more safe than here in Michigan, eh?

  8. WOW! Just Wow!

    It took voters 12 years after electing a Republican congress to get sick of Republicans.

    Its been a mere TWO YEARS since Democrats took control and the public has already turned on them. Actually, since polls of Obama voters show that most of them believe Republicans controlled congress for the last two years, so really, Americans have grown sick to death of Democrats after just a little more than 100 days!

    12 years out of power and Americans cant stand Democrats for more than 100 days!

    THAT is how you define a “dying political party”

    Levi? Anyone? Levi?

  9. Let’s see. “Americans abandoning the Democratic Party” even as Arlen Specter flees to it. I wonder what that makes Arlen Specter? 🙂

  11. how disingenuous. if you actually read the gallup study, you’d see the fleeing from the GOP is still ongoing, and from nearly EVERY demographic group. You people are going to have a LONG, LONG decade. You’re the minority party for that long, at the least, and, more likely, an entire generation unless you come up with a few new ideas (note: tax cuts and abortion aren’t working too well for you!).

    http://www.gallup.com/poll/118528/GOP-Losses-Span-Nearly-Demographic-Groups.aspx

  12. Yes bnl, because tax hikes and leaving babies to die work so well for you.

    Hint: When it’s a news article that a company in Columbus is creating a whopping 247 jobs, and got a 15 year tax abatement (aka a tax cut) to do it, your tax hikes are not helping.

  14. We´ve had inklings of this since the beginning of the year, Chambliss retained hgis seat in a runoff, Joseph Cao, winning in a a predominantly
    Democratic district. The Republican candidate for Senator Gillebrand´s congressional seat lost by a couple of hundred votes because the Dem´s threw a lot of money and big guns to hold the seat. As people seed how inept Janet Napolitano is, they have to wonder how she got to be a governor and the same can be said for Sebelius. Bill Richardson in New Mexico being charged with ¨pay to play.¨ Let us not forget Charlie Rangel and last but not least, the Speaker whose transparency is now clouded and the is the leader of the mass culture of corruption. She and her husband has invested big bucks with H. Boone Pickens. She won´t allow drilling offshore or ANWAR but she wants alternative enegy, obviously, not for good of the nation but her pocketbook. It is as Gene of Pennsylvania states; ¨an administration populated by boobs dummies crooks and morons.¨

  15. Actually *ucknut, its YOU and Gallup who are being disingenuous. And here is where:

    So far in 2009, aggregated Gallup Poll data show the divide on leaned party identification is 53% Democratic and 39% Republican

    “Aggregated” poll numbers mean SQUAT. It’s the latest polls that matter. And contrary to your disingenuous claim to the contrary, Republicans have indeed been gaining since the election and the latest poll DOES show Republicans have pulled even with Democrats.

    …but Gallup, and you, don’t like that fact, so instead of using the latest, most up to date information, and to avoid addressing the clear trend toward Republicans, Gallup uses an average or “aggregate” of all polls since last January which, by definition and design, skews the results toward obsolete numbers that favor Democrats and away from current reality which clearly shows that REPUBLICANS have not only gained on Democrats, have not only pulled even with Democrats, but clearly have ALL the momentum. In essence, you and Gallup are trying to claim Republicans aren’t just as popular now, because Democrats WERE more popular in the past.

    Sorry, bud, doesn’t work that way!

    But I LOVE how you accuse others of lying when you are the only one doing so! Just like a Democrat!

    (PS: Yes, tax cuts work, they work so well that Obama made them one of the central promises of his campaign, and yes, Republicans are winning on abortion as well)

  16. AE has nailed the polling bias that the Dems prefer. The Republicans now outpoll Democrats in the “which party would you prefer in the next congressional election question”. Republicans now hold an advantage. On the abortion question….since Obama has been serving there has been a 15 point swing, to now a majority consider themselves Pro Life instead of pro abortion. Obama has sent people fleeing to the pro life side of the aisle. Wonder why? His views are extreme. Oh and it’s only day 116 with only Fox News and talk radio acting as RADIO FREE AMERICA.