Sorry for my absence from the blog. I blame my real job and a nasty sinus infection that just won’t go away.
Anyway, I was just weeding through a ton of GayPatriot email and found this devastating summary by Dick Morris of President Obama’s current political situation. I usually give Dick Morris just about grain of salt, so it was the Zogby poll numbers that really caught my eye. (That would be the traditionally Democrat-leaning Zogby poll)
- People under 30 — long a key element of his support — give him no better than break-even ratings, with 41 percent approving and 41 percent disapproving of the job he’s doing, according to Zogby.
- Only 75 percent of Democrats, who formerly have supported Obama strongly, now approve of his performance in office. Zogby reports that this represents a slide of more than 10 points over the summer.
- Even among blacks, only 74 percent approve of the job he’s doing (also a drop of more than 10 points).
- Hispanics, who voted for him by a margin of more than 40 points, now break even (36-36) when rating his performance.
- Independents, the key swing group in our politics, now deliver a sharply negative 37-50 verdict on Obama’s job performance. The elderly also give him negative ratings by 42-51.
Whoa. Obama’s popularity crash is truly breathtaking and something I never thought I would see so soon. Morris points out, rightly, that this leaves Obama with few good options on healthcare reform.
He obviously can’t get 60 votes in the Senate for his health-care proposals in their current form. No Republican will support them, and moderate Democrats aren’t likely to vote with him.
If he tries to pass it with 50 votes, using so-called reconciliation procedures, he may also fail — because he’d also lose the votes of less-moderate Democrats who’d quail at using parliamentary tricks to pass such a radical, unpopular program.
If Obama waters down his proposals to attract moderate support, he’d lose votes on the left — perhaps more than he’d gain, at this point.
Yet the longer he takes to resolve this political problem, the more his ratings will slip — diminishing his power to achieve anything. No president with support in the 30s would be able to push through a program like his health-care agenda.
Healthcare reform has become a death spiral that looks like a bottomless pit for Obama and fellow Democrats. Morris points out that Clinton recovered by tacking to the right. I was always amazed how Clinton had an epiphany and discovered his interest a balanced budget in 1995; following the GOP takeover of Congress in 1994, of course.
But what is Obama to do when clearly he has only radical leftist bones in his body?
What to do, Chairman Obama? What to do? Ah, I know…. talk to the chillllllllllldren.