Nate Silver may well be the Michael Barone of the left. He has a gift for analyzing polls and pulling out the significant nuggets to show trends in popular opinion. He finds that the Washington Post makes a mess in its analysis of its own poll on health care reform.
And even as Silver finds indications of support for the public option, Jennifer Rubin observes
Obama made no statistically measurable difference in the health-care debate. Before the speech, Americans (not voters, as other polls generally measure) opposed ObamaCare by a margin of 50-45 percent. Afterward, by a margin of 48-46 percent. (The margin of error is +/- 3 percent). Fifty-four percent say the more they learn the less they like it. (The poll numbers for ObamaCare are virtually identical in that regard to those for HillaryCare.)
Emphasis added. In short, the speech didn’t change many minds. Maybe Obama really does lack the power to persuade.
Even former Bill Clinton aide George Stephanapolous finds that the President’s Speech aas no game-changer. Like Rubin, he notes that voters have barely budged on the issue.
Yeah, he got a modest bounce, but that’s pretty much what conservative bloggers, including yours truly, were predicting.