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Republican Defeat in NY-23 Could Lead to GOP Victories in 2010

October 23, 2009 by B. Daniel Blatt

With word that former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin has endorsed conservative Doug Hoffman to fill the House seat vacated by Army Secretary John McHugh, there is a real chance the once and future Republican could score an upset, defeating GOP nominee Dede Scozzafava and Democrat Bill Owens.  The safe bet though would be for an Owens victory.  The one certainty now is that Scozzafava will not be serving the remainder of McHugh’s term.

Given her support of the “stimulus” and other items on the Democrats’ big government agenda, this could serve as a warning to the GOP that to win elections, our candidates need more than just an (R) after their names, they need to stand for something.  It could remind Republicans that if we want to win back our congressional majorities, we need to tap into the energy and ideas of the Tea Party movement and support smaller government.

Indeed Politico calls this race the first test of tea party power.

Dede Scozzafava is exactly the kind of candidate liberal pundits have been saying the GOP needs to nominate if it wants to be relevant and win elections.  Problem is, she’s losing.

Filed Under: 2009 Elections, Conservative Ideas, Republican Resolve & Rebuilding, Tea Party

Comments

  1. Eric Dondero says

    October 23, 2009 at 5:47 am - October 23, 2009

    How ironic that Conservatives would say such a thing, when the Libertarian Party has been running candidates for decades. No Conservative endorsements of the LP in the past. Even in elections with special circumstances; only a Libertarian on the ballot, no GOPer for instance.

    You can bet that we Libertarians are going to be calling out our Conservative buddies on this hypocrisy very loudly going into 2010.

    The Libertarian Party will run it’s usual 800 or so candidates nationwide. We’ll be expecting a few endorsements coming our way from the Conservative Right.

    Eric Dondero, Publisher
    Libertarian Republican

  2. Syntax says

    October 23, 2009 at 6:03 am - October 23, 2009

    If the Conservative in NY 23 is expecting to be such an effective “rock star” for the future of the GOP then he better do better than this:

    http://www.watertowndailytimes.com/article/20091023/OPINION01/310239957

    These are the people that are actually supposed to be voting for him, not Glenn Beck and Michelle Malkin. This kind of incompetence is an insult to those of us who actually live here.

  3. American Elephant says

    October 23, 2009 at 6:58 am - October 23, 2009

    The Libertarian Party will run it’s usual 800 or so candidates nationwide.

    And you will win your usual two races nationwide. (a water district manager and a dog catcher)– if that.

    If you really want conservatives to take your candidates seriously, the first step is to prove they are SANE which means not running as third-party Losertarians.

  4. Ran says

    October 23, 2009 at 8:43 am - October 23, 2009

    Daniel,
    Agreed! The post-WW2 history of the GOP shows that real change only comes from grass-fires, not Republican “leadership.” Yeah, I hope Scuzzi loses, to either candidate… if it comes to that, but I’ll be rooting for Hoffman.
    Cheers!

  5. ShyAsrai says

    October 23, 2009 at 8:54 am - October 23, 2009

    considering that Congressional Representatives mostly have their fingers in national, NOT local, business, Hoffman is still a better pick than Scozzafava since he seems more to embrace conservativism.

  6. Grandmago says

    October 23, 2009 at 10:02 am - October 23, 2009

    I live in Oregon, a state that was a solid red state for years and now it has been a blue state for a long time. I have no use for “spoilers”. There have been many races in this state where the Republican could have eked out a win if not for the 3% the Libertarian Party received.
    So no, I would not support the Libertarian and throw away a vote. However, I do believe that Hoffman in NY is a better choice than another Arlen Spectre or Olympia Snowe than the Republican, who would not be a solid vote for Republican issues in Congress.

  7. North Dallas Thirty says

    October 23, 2009 at 11:41 am - October 23, 2009

    What an amazing coicidence! Liberal troll, Kos talking points repeater, and Obama worshiper Syntax “just happens” to live in NY-23. What do you think the odds are?

    All I can say is that conservative websites have been overrun by millions of “Syntax” clones who are all inexplicably claiming they live in the district and talking about how “insulted” they are.

    I think the odds are that he is confused by ACORN theory — you don’t have to live in a district, or even be living, to be a registered voter, and you certainly don’t have to limit yourself to only voting once. And that this is a typical attempt by the leftist Obama Kos astroturfers to pretend they’re something they’re not.

  8. Syntax says

    October 23, 2009 at 4:21 pm - October 23, 2009

    North Dallas Thirty — Not that you’re important enough to anybody where I have to explain myself to you but I live in Central Square, NY which is smack dab in NY23. I’m sure the blog administrator can trace my IP address and verify this quite easily if he felt you were important enough to commit his time. I DO NOT live in Dallas where an election in New York is quite frankly, none of your damn business!

    I am not a Liberal troll, I’m a Moderate voter who will actually be voting on Nov 3rd here in NY where it is up to people like me to decide who will be representing NY 23 in Congress and you just did an outstanding job marketing Hoffman to me if a$$holes like you are who he is supposed to be representing. Great job sunshine! The majority here in NY23 are mostly moderate and don’t particularly like having your “type” in our backyards.

    When Dick Armey claims our concerns are “parochial”, that is pretty much the same as claiming that we are “parochial” and it’s insulting. We may seem like a bunch of upstate backwoods hicks to Mr. Armey but these “parochial” issues are very important to us. We rely desperately on the St. Lawrence Seaway for commerce and a major source of stability for our local economy and that is not “parochial”. We elect people to represent WE THE CONSTITUENTS in Washington and not to represent a bunch of insecure tea-partiers who are afraid of being marginalized.

  9. Mitchell Blatt says

    October 23, 2009 at 5:29 pm - October 23, 2009

    Republicans voting for Scozafoz are freakin idiots. They should vote for the third-party candidate. Scozafoz is just trying to steal the third-party candidates votes. The third-party candidate is ahead of Scozafoz and might win if he actually got the Republican votes, but instead those morons are chosing a loser who has no chance of getting elected. This is one example where we see the Republican and Democrat two party system is being corrupted and that we need to instead start a Third Party and Democrat two party system so that we can keep Republicans off the ballot so they don’t steal any more third party votes.

  10. North Dallas Thirty says

    October 23, 2009 at 6:52 pm - October 23, 2009

    I am not a Liberal troll, I’m a Moderate voter

    Who endorses and supports child prostitution as practiced by ACORN, of course.

    Meanwhile, it’s hilarious to watch pathetic children like yourself whine about the Seaway when you’ve been supporting and endorsing this.

    Senators Hillary Rodham Clinton and Charles Schumer, both Democrats, have opposed the expansion project, which has been estimated to cost from $10 billion to $15 billion.

    Would you like to also see the argument from your Obama Party that it should be closed because of the environmental damage? Of course, a good fluffer like yourself who only repeats Obama talking points can then tell us how wonderful that would be and how the god-king is absolutely right to want to close it.

  11. Drew says

    October 23, 2009 at 9:23 pm - October 23, 2009

    I think many people are misreading this race. The political parties are failing. It is why Obama beat Hillary. It is why McCain, who had always alienated conservative groups, became the GOP nominee. Only an idiot would call for bipartisanship knowing it amounts to one party rule, which is what the Obamacrats want. Conservative political action committees are taking the lead in the vacuum created by the incompetence of political parties.

    Once again, gays are stuck with the choice between losing their wallets or losing their rights.

  12. Janis Kelly says

    October 24, 2009 at 6:09 pm - October 24, 2009

    As a resident of NY-23, I hope Hoffman wins (he is imperfect, but better than either of the other 2). Such a win would be a first step toward re-taking the Republican Party.

    Down here in NY-22 we hope to see an actual small-government Republican, George Phillips, unseat the brain-dead (too much hairspray?) Dem hack Maurice Hinchey in the next House election.

  13. Janis Kelly says

    October 24, 2009 at 6:10 pm - October 24, 2009

    Sorry, typo in previous post. Should have said “As a resident of NY-22” not NY-23. We are just in there cheering for our farther upstate neighbors! jk

  14. Rachel says

    October 27, 2009 at 12:18 pm - October 27, 2009

    As a resident of NY-23, I hope Hoffman wins (he is imperfect, but better than either of the other 2). Such a win would be a first step toward re-taking the Republican Party.

    How?

    Hoffman has less experience than Obama. No political background except being an architect for the 1980 Winter Olympics and a “promise” that he will vote rightward. Where’s the proof? Just because Palin is picking Hoffman doesn’t mean it’s the right choice. She doesn’t even come close to knowing NY politics – and I like Palin. And how do you know that Hoffman will stick to his promise? Beltway politics are nasty and pressure is immense

    I agree with Drew. It’s more of a rejection of the political parties than a message to Republicans, esp. since Obama is such an easy person to go against

  15. Rachel says

    October 27, 2009 at 12:21 pm - October 27, 2009

    correction: accountant.

  16. Syntax says

    October 28, 2009 at 2:50 am - October 28, 2009

    North Dallas Forty assumes who I vote for because that is the extremes of the tea-partiers. “You’re either with us or against us!” I don’t support Hoffman so I’m automatically a underage sex trafficker working for ACORN in my spare time when I’m not hijacking planes and flying them into buildings at the request of Dan Rather. We don’t want or need this nonsense in our backyards.

    These tea-partiers (they’re NOT Conservative by any means) have alienated themselves down to a smoldering nub and have managed to piss off everybody under the Sun who ever dared to have difference of opinion with them. If you drink Pepsi instead of Coke than you must be a Liberal and you’re mother is a whore working for ACORN in her spare time when she’s not hijacking planes and flying them into buildings at the request of Valerie Plame. They’re the GOP’s problem and people in NY23 should make damn sure they’re not our problem!

  17. Georg Felis says

    October 28, 2009 at 11:06 am - October 28, 2009

    Syntax, we might believe your complaint about being stereotyped just a bit more if you did not immediately attempt to stereotype the tea party protestors. NY-23 is boiling down to a race between two liberals (with minor differences involving a D and a R after their names) and a conservative. May the best conservative win.

  18. Syntax says

    October 29, 2009 at 2:16 am - October 29, 2009

    These tea-partiers have stereotyped themselves and for the past 2 election cycles, have been shown by no means what the rest of America thinks of them.

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