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In California, Carly Polling Well Against Floundering Boxer

January 18, 2010 by B. Daniel Blatt

Massachusetts isn’t the only “blue” state where Republican Senate candidates are nipping at the heels of Democrats.  According to Rasmussen here, in the Golden State:

Senator Barbara Boxer is now the latest Democratic incumbent to find herself in a tightening race for reelection.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of likely California voters finds Boxer with narrow leads over her three leading Republican challengers, including newcomer Tom Campbell.

Against each of the three Republicans, vying to oppose here, Ma’am holds at 46%.  My gal Carly does the best at 43% (didn’t I see a poll last week that had the Massachuetts race at 43-46?).  Tom Campbell, fresh from switching races (he had been barnstorming the state as a candidate for Governor, but had not been polling well against Meg Whitman and Steve Poizner in the contest for taking on Democrat Jerry Brown) is at 42, with longtime candidate Chuck DeVore at 40%.

Methinks Chuck might do well to shop for an open Congressional seat.

The best news for Republicans is that for the first time that Ma’am has faced the voters, the election is all about her:

The fact that Boxer’s support is frozen at 46% against all GOP challengers suggest that the race for now is about her rather than those running against her.

Men favor any of the Republicans by double digits over Boxer, while women prefer the incumbent by similar margins. Voters not affiliated with either party like the Republican candidates by anywhere from nine to 14 points.

Voters not affiliated with either party preferring the Republican?  Hmmmm. . .  now where have we seen that before?  Oh, right, yes, in, uh, New Jersey (getting a new Republican Governor on the morrow) and Virginia (with a new Republican Governor in Thomas Jefferson’s old job).

With the race now this close and an upset possible tomorrow in the Bay State, Republicans might start thinking about contributing to their fellow partisans vying for the chance to send Barbara Boxer packing, now that they see she’s vulnerable.  And the more money they have, the more time they’ll have to remind California voters about Mrs. Boxer’s partisanship, arrogance and absence of accomplishment, how she supported the “stimulus” in order to create jobs and now nearly a year since it’s passed, 12% of Californians are out of work.

Somehow, I’m thinking that two years ago at this time, Elizabeth Dole wasn’t polling as poorly as Mrs. Boxer.   And her state hadn’t gone Democratic since 1976.  California last went Republican in 1988.  And Mrs. Dole is now also known as former Senator Dole.  Ma’am, you’ve got a new adjective coming your way.

Filed Under: 2010 Elections, California politics

Comments

  1. John says

    January 18, 2010 at 7:58 pm - January 18, 2010

    If Brown wins tomorrow, oooooooh! California will be interesting to watch.

    Good.

    I like it when politicians are nervous about a pissed off electorate.

  2. SoCalRobert says

    January 18, 2010 at 8:02 pm - January 18, 2010

    If the Dems ram the healthcare debacle through by getting the House to vote for the Senate bill, it will be interesting to see what happens to Ma’am’s numbers.

    I have to say that it bothers me that her numbers are as high as they are. A thinking liberal (if there is such a thing) would have to see her for what she is: a mediocrity.

    Where are the Daniel Moynihans? The Hubert Humphreys? The Scoop Jacksons?

  3. Tom in Lazybrook says

    January 18, 2010 at 8:08 pm - January 18, 2010

    Does Carly support DADT repeal?

  4. The_Livewire says

    January 18, 2010 at 9:09 pm - January 18, 2010

    Well Ms. Fiona doesn’t have the advantage of a poor campaigner on the other side.

  5. B. Daniel Blatt says

    January 18, 2010 at 9:46 pm - January 18, 2010

    Dunno, Tom, you know how to use google. Why don’t you find out.

  6. Darkeyedresolve says

    January 19, 2010 at 1:02 pm - January 19, 2010

    Talk about fatal, if Democrats begin to lose these safe blue state seats…then maybe the bottom is beginning to fall out of their safety net. I didn’t think it was really possible for the Republicans to regain control of Congress but things seem to be moving that way.

    I mean most of this has to do with the Economy, than health care. The Economy begins to turn and people feel better about whats going on, the numbers will turn back to the Dems…but looks damaging so far.

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