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If Brown Wins Today, Will Boxer Pull a Dodd?

January 19, 2010 by B. Daniel Blatt

Welcome Instapundit Readers!!  While you’re here, check out our latest dispatches from our reporter embedded behind enemy lines in a liberal enclave of the Bay State.

Barbara Boxer hasn’t been polling nearly as badly as has her colleague from the Nutmeg State, but in a campaign that’s just getting underway, in a state that went for Obama by 24 points (just a shade smaller than the Democrat’s margin in the Bay State), she’s only six points ahead of her weakest challenger.   Her strongest challenger, my gal Carly, has made it a real race, trailing Boxer by only three points.  When the Massachusetts campaign got underway, the Democrat, though not an incumbent had won a statewide election, led her Republican challenger by thirty points.  Most polls have him up right now.

And while Democrats have a 3-to-1 registration edge over Republicans in Massachusetts, here in the Golden State it’s only 3 to 2.

Now, California Democrats are beginning to worry that a Brown victory in the Bay State could rev up Republicans out here:

For Boxer, a favorite Republican target, a GOP win in Massachusetts would be a particularly dark sign representing “not just the canary in the coal mine,” said Wade Randlett, a leading Silicon Valley fundraiser for Obama. “It’s the flock of dead ravens landing on the lawn.”

Even the Mayor of the state’s most liberal big city can read the tea leaves:

“We better get our act together – and quickly,” [San Francisco Mayor Gavin] Newsom said. Voters “are so angry. They don’t feel that we’re paying attention to their needs, in terms of their jobs, and what’s going on at the grassroots, in their neighborhoods.

Mrs. Boxer doesn’t spent much time in the jurisdiction she represents, having held no town halls on health care last fall.  When I contacted her office to ask if she had ever held any, they told me she does hold them.  In Washington.  Yup, that’s right, you gotta to make a cross country journey to talk to our Senator about the issues facing our country and our state.

So, given how poorly Ma’am’s been polling, you think maybe she’ll pull a Chris Dodd, opening the race for a Democrat who takes the time to listen to the citizens of the once-Golden State?

(San Francisco Chronicle article via Instapundit.)

Filed Under: 2010 Elections, California politics

Comments

  1. ILoveCapitalism says

    January 19, 2010 at 2:40 pm - January 19, 2010

    If Brown wins today, will Voinovich pull a Specter? (h/t Malkin)

  2. Duffy - Native Intelligence says

    January 19, 2010 at 2:53 pm - January 19, 2010

    I sent Senator Boxer (cause she worked so hard to attain her title) last year about having a Town Hall on Healthcare in California. I received a generic email in return blathering on about her taking my comments in mind and being very concerned (typical White Man or White Woman verbage for “not now dear, I am doing important work). She later flew down to Riverside, California for a quick drive by of the Riverside County Regional Medical Center for a Photo Op. This was her version of getting in touch with her constituents – very, very poor customer service on her part. When and if California decides to vote her out – She will probably be indignant and tell us (the voters) that we didnt know all the facts.

  3. Darkeyedresolve says

    January 19, 2010 at 3:06 pm - January 19, 2010

    Voinovich is retiring this term anyway, so whats the point of changing parties? I doubt he will pull a Spector for what…8 months or so of his last term.

    Well considering now that Dodd is gone, and Blumenthal is crushing all of his Republican opponents, it might be for the best. I guess it is just anti incumbency mood and not an anti-Democratic wave coming through. I think Boxer will be fine because she is not nearly in the same bad place as Dodd. Dodd was trailing his opponents for months, and she is still holding a lead.

    It looks like its getting closer and closer, and it could turn out to be a much closer race than people thought but I don’t see why Boxer would bow out at this point.

  4. John in Dublin CA says

    January 19, 2010 at 3:07 pm - January 19, 2010

    Just got word this morning that we finally have a serious challenger to McNerny in CA-11. David Harmer, who lost in CA-10 in November is going to make a run.

  5. The_Livewire says

    January 19, 2010 at 3:22 pm - January 19, 2010

    I don’t trust George Sonofavich any farther than I can throw him. He’d swap sides just for a swan song in the spotlight

  6. Gene in Pennsylvania says

    January 19, 2010 at 5:20 pm - January 19, 2010

    If Brown wins in MA, you gotta believe that more and more serious and qualified (R) candidates will line up to run in November!
    As far as MS Boxer goes, after MA how can any far left liberal feel safe?
    Nelson may be doomed in 2012, no way 80 year old Spector wins in PA this november against 40 year old conservative Toomey.
    God Bless America!

  7. John says

    January 19, 2010 at 6:03 pm - January 19, 2010

    Is anyone just giddy like I am right now seeing all the old fossils of the far left tuck tail and hide in fear? Boxer is definitely one I want to see gone from the Senate. I’d like to see some Republican dinosaurs follow suit, but for now take great pleasure watching the governing party take their wel-deserved licks.

    Popcorn anyone? 😀

  8. Rewrite! says

    January 19, 2010 at 6:58 pm - January 19, 2010

    Please make it so! America can’t take much more of this haughty elite and her fellow travelers.

  9. Mr. W says

    January 19, 2010 at 7:00 pm - January 19, 2010

    When Barbara does retire she will get her full salary (forever), medical benfits that you and I can only imagine, and a sweet seven-figure job on K street lobbying her friends.

    Her and all of her friends have to be gone. Every single one.

  10. Ponderosa says

    January 19, 2010 at 7:10 pm - January 19, 2010

    Reid – does a ‘Dodd’ as well.
    Harry’s numbers aren’t good plus he is dragging down his son.

    Pelosi is thrown under the bus as well. It will be the new and improved party.

    Dem Lite. Same great taste, but less filling! Really we’ve changed.

  11. LiveFreeOrDie says

    January 19, 2010 at 7:21 pm - January 19, 2010

    You have a link up from Big Government also

    Congrats

  12. Mad_as_H says

    January 19, 2010 at 7:22 pm - January 19, 2010

    If you lost your job, home and benefits, why should politicians get ANYTHING when they are out of office?

    Their sense of entitlement is OVERWHELMING.

    And they complain about excessive bonuses for bankers?

    Taxpayer citizens will correct this problem the first opportunity we get beginning with MASSACHUSETTS!

  13. Gene in Pennsylvania says

    January 19, 2010 at 7:23 pm - January 19, 2010

    #7 Youve got it John!! We’ve got the chips soda and skittles out!!!
    If the race is called for Scott Brown we’re going out on the porch and bang some pots and pans together!!
    Let freedom ring!

  14. DirtCrashr says

    January 19, 2010 at 7:28 pm - January 19, 2010

    Maybe she’ll return to Brooklyn from whence she came and finally leave us Californians alone – she’s not a native Californian by any means, she’s been here far too long, she’s insulated, isolated, and out-of-touch behind her safe Gerrymandered Palace-District.
    Every letter I’ve sent has been returned with my words twisted around to agree her position – and I have never agreed with ANY of her positions – but that’s the job of her kool-aid drinking sycophantic underlings called interns. No wonder Sacramento (and DC) is in such shambles. We should cut the Legislature in half or more – we don’t need as many creeps as there are, meddling and feathering their own nests.

  15. Martin L. Shoemaker says

    January 19, 2010 at 7:29 pm - January 19, 2010

    When I first read Mr. Newsom’s comments today, I speculated that he may be preparing to challenge Ms. Pelosi. Now I wonder if maybe challenging or succeeding Ms. Boxer is more likely.

  16. AndyJ says

    January 19, 2010 at 7:35 pm - January 19, 2010

    Are there -ANY- Democrats who listen-? All I ever see, meet, hear are the ones who keep talking and drown me in words. All I find are people who want to tell me how wrong I am before I can even finish making my point. Conclusion: Democrats don’t listen… Boxer is too obtuse and hooked on the political juice to see any writing on the wall… She will die in office… Unless she is voted out… If it’s not close-They can’t cheat…

  17. Michael Asher says

    January 19, 2010 at 7:41 pm - January 19, 2010

    Arrivederci, Ma’am!!

  18. sestamibi says

    January 19, 2010 at 7:56 pm - January 19, 2010

    DirtCrashr said:

    “she’s been here far too long, she’s insulated, isolated, and out-of-touch behind her safe Gerrymandered Palace-District.”

    Huh? WTF are you talking about?! She runs statewide and last I heard they haven’t figured a way to gerrymander the US Senate.

  19. Congress Works For Us says

    January 19, 2010 at 8:02 pm - January 19, 2010

    I’m in OH. No chance Voinovich changes sides or votes for Healthcare.

  20. MrsH says

    January 19, 2010 at 8:17 pm - January 19, 2010

    While I’d cheer to see Barbara in her boxers gone, anyway she can go, I really want to see her go out in her boxers through a full Military parade salute, addressed as Ma’am all the way. I do believe even California may have had enough of the party in charge for the last 25 years. The state is nearly dead at their hands. Babs and Nancy can go make wine the old fashioned way, stomping sour grapes.

  21. Ex-SF says

    January 19, 2010 at 8:17 pm - January 19, 2010

    “We better get our act together – and quickly,” [San Francisco Mayor Gavin] Newsom said. Voters “are so angry. They don’t feel that we’re paying attention to their needs, in terms of their jobs, and what’s going on at the grassroots, in their neighborhoods.

    The jerk still doesn’t get it – get your hands out of our pockets. Gavin still thinks we want more government.

  22. Paul Hogue says

    January 19, 2010 at 8:27 pm - January 19, 2010

    A nice thought but she frankly isn’t that smart. If anybody’s dumb enough to hang in for an electoral upset or a beat-down (should either come), it’d be her!

  23. Obi's Sister says

    January 19, 2010 at 8:52 pm - January 19, 2010

    That would be a dream come true!

  24. victoria says

    January 19, 2010 at 9:51 pm - January 19, 2010

    boxer is next. i live in california and am sick at the direction of our governor, the state assembly and their arrogance.

    everyone should focus on seats up for grabs this years and put their time and money for fresh ideas and faces.

    say no to business as usual

  25. old409 says

    January 19, 2010 at 9:52 pm - January 19, 2010

    California has sent some real pieces of work to Washington. The California delegation looks like something from a carnival freak show. Pelosi, Boxer, Feinstein, and old man Waxman. what bunch of odd looking creatures and every bit as stupid as they look. California, have you no shame?

  26. Wild Bill OH says

    January 20, 2010 at 12:46 pm - January 20, 2010

    There is a Brown we need to get OUT of the Senate… Sherrod Brown (D)OH. And not replace him with that fossil Lee Fisher.

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