While we’ve mostly had bad news from the (once-)Golden State, there is a bit of good news to report, a chance that California won’t, as of next January, continue down the path of fiscal ruin. The latest Field Poll shows Republican Meg Whitman besting former Governor Jerry “Moonbeam” “Medfly” Brown by 3 points.
Given that the Democrat is the state’s Attorney General, has served previously as Governor, he has to be considered the incumbent in this race, meaning that undecideds will likely break against him. To be sure, he’ll be helped by a hefty dose of state-subsidized campaigning when the public employee unions release tens of millions of dollars in negative ads against Mrs. Whitman should she prevail in the Republican primary next June–as appears likely.
Still, right now, the trends don’t look good for Moonbeam. He’s remained virtually static, in the low 40s, while she’s moving up:
While the unions will spend a lot to defeat her, she should have a nice stash of campaign cash to stand up to their attacks. As a political outsider, Meg best represents change from the Sacramento status quo.
NB: I’m aware the charts says Senate, but the candidates are the ones running for Governor. The heading came with the embed from pollster.