RealClearPolitics still lists the California Senate race as Leans Democratic, but when a three-term incumbent Democratic Senator in a state that delivered 60% of its votes to Obama and where the president still enjoys high approval writing herself has a disapproval rating of 51%, it’s time to move this race to the Toss-up category.
A majority, 51%, of likely voters now view [Barbara Boxer] unfavorably, with only 38% having a favorable impression of the incumbent. In the previous poll, taken in Jan., 48% viewed Boxer favorably, with 39% having an unfavorable image of her.
In matchups with the Republicans competing for the chance to succeed her, she never tops 45% and is running either one point behind or one point ahead of her Tom Campbell and Carly Fiorina respectively. And what is it they say about undecideds breaking against the incumbent?
And my gal Carly’s been surging, up 9 points since the last poll. If she continues this trajectory, she’ll be polling above 50% next month.