If, indeed, a “historic win” on health care is close as blares the headline on Politico, then the key question is not whether or not the Republicans will win back the House, but how close their margin will be to the 67th Congress, elected in 1920 in the wake of popular discontent over the Administration of Woodrow Wilson.
Then, there were 302 Republicans in the House, compared to 131 Democrats. Now, I don’t think we’ll elect that many Republicans this fall, though, in the coming days, we’ll see some Democrats who voted “Yes” get opposition from irate physicians or others opposed to this legislation. More races which looked safe to the Democrats, like Barbara Boxer’s race to stay in the Senate, will move from “Lean” or “Likely” Democratic into the “Tossup” category.
And many Democrats who voted “No” may get swept away in the anti-incumbent Democratic tide.
UPDATE: Glenn Reynolds: “Like the protester said yesterday, if you vote yes on the bill, we’ll vote no on you in November.”