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California Democrats in Deep Doo-Doo

March 25, 2010 by B. Daniel Blatt

The latest poll from the Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) confirms surveys by Rasmussen and the Field Poll: in a state which went overwhelmingly (61%) for Obama in 2008, the state’s junior Senator, Barbara Boxer, polls well below 50%. I expect that political prognosticators will soon move this race from “Lean Democratic” to “Toss-up.”

Against each of the three Republicans competing to replace her, Boxer never polls higher than 46%–and that against Chuck Devore. Otherwise she remains deadlocked with Tom Campbell and my gal Carly Fiorina, polling below 45%. And she has edged ahead of Campbell in the race for the GOP nomination:

Today, Campbell and Fiorina are in a close race (24% Fiorina, 23% Campbell), and DeVore’s level of support is unchanged (8%). In this campaign—which has seen little advertising—the largest percentage of likely voters (44%) is undecided, similar to January (48%).

Interestingly in matchups with Fiorina and Campbell, Boxer, like Democrats across the country, trails among independents.

In the race for Governor, Meg “Whitman leads Democratic candidate Jerry Brown, 44 percent to 39 percent, with 17 percent undecided.”

And it’s not just Democrats Boxer and Moonbeam Brown who are lagging. People out here don’t much care for the Democratic-controlled state legislature: “For the first time in PPIC survey history, the state legislature’s approval rating among likely voters has sunk to single digits—9 percent.” That makes Congress seem popular. In the home state of the Democratic House Speaker, “Congress gets an approval rating of 14 percent—a 15-point drop since January (29%)”. Obama now enjoys a 52% approval rating, down 9 points from his November 2008 tally.

If undecideds in California break as they usually do, against the party in power, then, well, it’s going to be a banner year in the Golden State, with voters removing one of the most hyperpartisan and least accomplished Democrats from the Senate.

And now that the House reconciliation bill is going back to that chamber for a revote, I’ll bet Mrs. Boxer is gnashing her teeth, wishing she hadn’t voted to table an amendment preventing sex offenders from getting access to Viagra.

Filed Under: 2010 Elections, California politics

Comments

  1. Colin says

    March 25, 2010 at 2:35 pm - March 25, 2010

    Don’t get too excited. Boxer still has lots of money, and the GOP establishment would prefer to campaign in less expensive states.

    She still has plenty of fight in her.

  2. Serenity says

    March 25, 2010 at 2:45 pm - March 25, 2010

    I’ll bet Mrs. Boxer is gnashing her teeth, wishing she hadn’t voted to table an amendment preventing sex offenders from getting access to Viagra.

    You are just going to keep making an ass of yourself for weeks now, aren’t you?

    Otherwise this post is pretty unobjectionable, looks like the Democrats could have half a dozen Massachusetts on their hands if they don’t take some serious action to defend what would otherwise be considered safe seats.

  3. Hunter says

    March 25, 2010 at 3:28 pm - March 25, 2010

    I wouldn’t get too excited, either. The Viagra vote is just ridiculous and not even relevant to anything important. As much as I’d love to see Boxer sent packing, I think that when it comes time to vote, California will go Democrat. The state functions like the Federal government….a minority of the people pay the taxes to support the goodies for the majority. Until that changes there really isn’t any reason not to vote for the Dems who promise the best goodies.

  4. heliotrope says

    March 25, 2010 at 4:36 pm - March 25, 2010

    You are just going to keep making an ass of yourself for weeks now, aren’t you?

    Dan, could you come up with a little “making an ass of myself” sign to insert in your efforts so we slugs can get a clue? Honestly, Dan, I really have trouble with my elitist-o-meter sniffing out your stupidity.

    Have you learned to walk upright yet? What’s it like? Do you knuckles heal up?

  5. heliotrope says

    March 25, 2010 at 4:38 pm - March 25, 2010

    Do you knuckles heal up?

    Of course I meant to say “Does yo knuckles heals up?

  6. Tully says

    March 26, 2010 at 11:50 am - March 26, 2010

    The next reincarnation of ACORN will be along any moment now to register the illegal-alien and graveyard vote.

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