Prediction: No DADT Repeal This Year–Or Possibly This President
While I’m heartened that Joe Leiberman, seemingly the Left’s only remaining hawk cogent foreign policy thinker has introduced legislation to repeal Don’t Ask Don’t Tell, I’m afraid I can’t be as optimistic about its chances as my host and co-blogger.
I am a big advocate for the repeal as a matter of national security (and no, not because of the meme that it’s hindering recruitment or the fantasy that we’re losing some imagined ungodly number of Arabic linguists because of it). You can find a lengthy long-winded explanation of this stance here, a series I wrote just over four years ago that I believe still stands up (at least as a demonstration of my position on the matter). It gives me no pleasure to pour cold water on the prospect of changing this policy. However,
Given the (to repeat myself) Charlie Foxtrot that Democrats have made of the health care catastrophe, win lose or draw on that issue, what Senator or Representative would be willing to stick his neck out for gays in the military in this atmosphere? (Carl Levin, his co-sponsor isn’t up for re-election until 2012, and Vic Snyder who’s sponsoring in the House won his seat witn 77% in 2008) Safe Democrats will sign on to this and support it fully. But that species is definitely endangered in 2010.
What’s ironic, if you’re willing to see it, is that the sheep fellow-travelers in the “gay” “rights” “community” “leadership” who have been so full-throated in their exhuberance over the president’s Stalinization of health care plan are actually partly to blame, in fact. Were it not for this overreach by the Democrats (led by Obama, Reid, and Pelosi), there may still have been some political captial left in their bank to try to push this through. However, having blown their credibility with the American populace, they’ve also lost much of their authority when it comes to leading.
I’ll be very elated if I’m wrong about this, but bottom line, don’t look for this to happen anytime soon. And that is a shame.
-Nick (ColoradoPatriot, from TML)









