With the GOP enjoying the “largest margin they’ve ever enjoyed in the generic-ballot question“, it would seem to be glory days for the Republican Party.
But, let me, ever the optimist, to add a dose of necessary caution. We may be pulling ahead of the Democrats and enjoying support (at least on the generic ballot) that exceeds leads we enjoyed in 1994, but people aren’t so much warming to the GOP as they are choosing the only real alternative to an increasingly unpopular party in power (it’s why despite her flaws and gaffes, Angle will likely pull it out in Nevada).
Just like 2006, people aren’t looking to vote for the party out of power, but against the party in power.
In fact, in many polls, the Republican Party’s favorables are still lower than the Democrats’. And even so: Biggest generic ballot lead … in history. That’s how popular Hopenchange is.
The flip side of that calculus, of course: Imagine what the lead would be like if people liked the GOP.
That’s why the GOP needs to come up with a plan akin to 1994’s Contract with America. Sure, it’ll give the Democrats a target. But, it will also give Republicans a chance to run on something. They need to show they’re not the big-spending party of the Bush years — and that they’ve learned the lessons of ’06 and ’08.