Gallup has released a poll which is simply astounding. Crying “Holy Smokes Batman!” Hugh Hewitt calls the new Gallup numbers “extraordinary:
Americans are going to vote against Democrats from top to bottom, and they are not going to be diverted by Gloria Allred, secret tapes, or any other stunt. It is a massive rejection of President Obama’s policies and those of Pelosi and Reid.
And consider this: The gap may widen, not narrow, as more and more people focus on the dismal results of the blank political check given the Democrats in 2008. The American people made a huge mistake two years ago. They won’t be fooled again.
Calling the numbers “astonishing,” Michael Barone wonders what election the 2010 mid-terms will most closely parallel:
These two numbers, if translated into popular votes in the 435 congressional districts, suggest huge gains for Republicans and a Republican House majority the likes of which we have not seen since the election cycles of 1946 or even 1928.
Perhaps, it’ll be like 1894 when the GOP picked up 100 seats. Still, this sage pundit urges caution. Oh, and what are those two numbers you may ask. Here let me show you Gallup’s chart:
The GOP even leads among registered voters, but the two numbers Barone referenced come from the second two lines in the chart above, from the two different turnout models Gallup uses. Under the second such model, the GOP has an 18-point margin, otherwise it’s just 13. Wowza. And independents are turning away from the big-government policies of he incumbent Democrats:
Independents in both likely voter models skew strongly toward the Republican candidate. Gallup has found independent registered voters consistently preferring Republican candidates throughout the campaign.
But, good as these numbers are, let’s remember what the sage captain of the Millennium Falcon once said.