I have heard some rumors that, true to form, Barbara Boxer is about to sling some mud at her opponent in the closing days of the campaign. No wonder, while some polls have showed the 28-year Washington veteran slightly ahead of the woman challenging her with “a vigor and directness that suggests she could be effective in Washington“, Boxer has yet to exceed 50% in any serious poll.
In most polls, the 3-term Senator languishes in the mid-40s — and this in a state that Obama won with over 60% of the vote and, in some polls, holds an approval rating that is still above water.
Right now, Boxer knows she has to go negative. If the undecided voters break as most undecided voters tend to — against the incumbent — she’ll lose. And particularly in a year like this, with voters across the country angry at the governing class — and with enthusiasm high among Republicans and a dispirited Democratic base, Ma’am’s going to have a tough time geting her people to the polls.
It is also important to note that Boxer’s negatives are fully institutionalized to the point where she has never once broken the 45% level in terms of her ballot strength, and there are a “hard” fifty-three percent (53%) of voters who believe it is time for a new person.
Emphasis added. (Via: Campaign Spot.) Basically, if this race is about Barbara Boxer, as it should be, given that she’s occupied the Senate seat in question for 18 years, Carly Fiorina wins.
If the Democratic partisan manages to cook up some distraction, then she might be able to sneak in for another term. It’s all up to Carly’s campaign to “bring focus back onto Boxer” and so “convert the remaining Independents and undecided voters”. Join me in helping Carly get her message out.
UPDATE: Considering “that the Democrats have pulled out all of the stops for Boxer, including campaign events featuring both the President and Vice President“, Jon Fleischman finds these numbers particularly impressive.