Well, those are my words. Here are his:
House Editor David Wasserman surveys the largest House playing field since 1994 and explains why Democrats’ losses may well exceed the 52 seats they lost that year. Groggy newspaper readers could have easily mistaken headlines written about actual tornadoes and high winds ripping through the Midwest and South for accurate assessments of the House landscape. As the DCCC embarks on a $23 million last-ditch ad campaign in the final week, the chatter in most Democratic circles is no longer about whether there is any hope of holding onto the majority, but just how deep a hole they will have to climb out of in 2012. Even some GOP strategists express shock at the quality of Republican candidates who are competitive at the moment.
On our competitive House race chart, there are now 25 Democratic-held seats in the Lean Republican or Likely Republican columns, and just three GOP-held seats in the Lean Democratic or Likely Democratic columns, which makes for a base of 22 GOP pickups. Apart from those seats, 49 Democratic seats and just one Republican seat sit in the Toss Up column. In the unlikely event Democrats manage to win half of these races, they would still lose 46 seats and control. If, true to history, Republicans win more than half of the Toss Ups and a handful of the 27 races in the Lean Democratic column, GOP gains would approach 60 seats, potentially the largest single-cycle net House shift in 72 years.
That’d be 1938 folks. If the count goes much above 60 for the GOP — then it is historic gains not seen since 1894.
But we can’t win if we don’t VOTE! I have already, so I can be a nudge with no regrets.