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As election approaches, enthusiasm gap appears to widen

Posted by B. Daniel Blatt at 4:45 pm - October 31, 2010.
Filed under: 2010 Elections

This is not the way to end your campaign — and a sign of the waning enthusiasm within the president’s party:

The arena where President Obama and Vice President Biden are making their final appeal to Democrats to get out and vote in Tuesday’s midterm elections was far from capacity Sunday afternoon.

The crowd estimate stands at 8,000 in the arena that seats just over 13,000 and a couple thousand empty seats are visible above the stage where Obama and Biden rallied supporters.

Reading about this sparsely-attended rally in the Democratic heartland of Ohio, Doug Powers quips, “The enthusiasm gap’ remains as gappy as ever less than 48 hours before voting begins:

Reason.tv – What We Saw At The “Restoring Sanity” Rally

Frightening.

-Bruce (GayPatriot)

Having “Poisoned” the Legislative Process, Ma’am Attacks!

So, after weeks of streaming attack ads to voters across the (once-)Golden State, Barbara Boxer is going on the air with a fluffy ad, attempting to tell us what she’s done in the Senate.  And even in that fluffy ad, she doesn’t talk to us.  Seems par for the course for this 28-year veteran of Washington, D.C.

And Mrs. Boxer’s campaign rhetoric just doesn’t square with her Senate record.

The career politician tells us she’s fighting for our jobs.  Yeah, well, her policies haven’t resulted in new jobs coming to her jurisdiction.  She praises the “stimulus” as “very successful[;] it created hundreds of thousands of job”, yet by her own benchmark (approvingly citing the White House prediction that the legislation would “save or create approximately 400,000 jobs in California” in a February 13, 2009 press release), it has failed utterly.  California has lost 592,300 nonfarm payroll jobs since she issued that release.*

She claims she’s creating green jobs that can’t be outsourced.  Yet, in voting for that “very successful” stimulus, the 3-term Senator voted to send our tax dollars (and those of our children and grandchildren) overseas:

Through one stimulus measure — the Section 1603 Grant Program — developers of renewable energy are entitled to a reimbursement of 30 percent of the cost of building a facility. Since last September, that government program has given out $2.3 billion to developers of U.S. wind farms. About 70 percent of the rebates — more than $1.6 billion in U.S. tax dollars — has gone to foreign developers . . .

Then, Mrs. Boxer touts her leadership in promoting “clean energy” reform.  But, her “leadership” meant that the bill stalled in the Senate, with her own Democratic colleagues losing confidence in the Washington veteran.  After the bill cleared her committee, “Rank-and-file members from both parties dismissed the Boxer bill, coal-state senators were unhappy and many said Boxer’s move to approve the bill without any Republicans even in the committee room had poisoned the process.

Let me repeat that.  On the signature legislation of her Committee On Environment And Public Works in the 111th Congress, Mrs. Boxer’s leadership poisoned the process.

Is this the kind of woman who should be representing California in the United States Senate for the next six years?

On November 2, let’s just say, “No, Ma’am”: (more…)

So, What Are Your “Ballsy” Electoral Predictions?

Posted by B. Daniel Blatt at 12:18 pm - October 31, 2010.
Filed under: 2010 Elections

Over on Facebook, my friend Matthew Berry, who ran a spirited race for the Republican nomination in Virginia’s 8th Congressional District, is predicting that Republicans will pick up 59 seats in the House and 8 in the Senate.  Of course, if that good man and principled conservative had won his party’s nomination, it would be a 60-seat pick up in the House.

My own predictions is that we pick up 63-67 seats (64-68 had Matthew won), but sometimes I wonder if I’m being too conservative.

As I write this, my main source for news on House races, RealClearPolitics, lists 221 House seats as safe, likely or leaning to the GOP.  (218 are needed for a majority; Republicans now control 179.)  Let’s say GOP splits the 43 tossups (but the likelihood is that we’ll take more than half), that’s 21 (giving benefit of the doubt to the Dems for that half-seat).  Now, say the GOP picks up 5 seats from the 26 currently leaning Democratic, but let’s take away 3 that Democrats may take from seats that appear to be going the Republicans’ way.  (I would allocate more, but when you’ve got a CNN poll (which notoriously skews left) giving the GOP a “10 point advantage in the ‘generic ballot’ question“, looks like seats trending Republican will stay that way.)

So, we have 221 + 21 + 5  – 3 and get 244,  That produces a 65-seat gain.  But, recall, that’s splitting the tossups right down the middle.

So, what are you predictions — and what’s your ballsy prediction?  Mine is that no Democrat wins a gubernatorial contest in New England (recall, I didn’t say Republicans would win them all, only that Democrats would lose them all).  Oh — and that Tancredo wins in Colorado.

A Democratic poll shows the race in Connecticut is trending Republican.

UPDATE FROM BRUCE (GP):  I thought I’d weigh in here.  I think that the Republicans will win 55 seats in the House and 8 seats in the Senate.  If there is a complete Democrat collapse (still possible, but not probable), then I believe there is the chance for 70 seats in the House and 10 seats in the Senate.  I’m officially sticking with my more conservative projection.

My “ballsy” prediction:  Heath Shuler (NC-11) will lose; Christine O’Donnell will win; and like Dan — Tom Tancredo will be CO’s next Governor.