Tomorrow’s elections will, by no means, determine, the Republican presidential nomination for 2012, but the results could strengthen the hand of certain candidates. Let me run down the various candidates — and show how election results tomorrow could help them.
Jeb Bush: If Democrat Alex Sink edges businessman Rick Scott, Jeb will not look as strong as he might even as his protege Marco Rubio cruises to electoral victory. Mitigating that loss would be GOP pick-ups of all four currently Democratic U.S. House (from Florida) seats deemed vulnerable this cycle as well as the one Republican seat on the edge.
Mitch Daniels: Since everyone knows Dan Coats will be coasting to victory — in what should be the first currently Democratic Senate seat to flip tomorrow, the big races to watch will be then Democratic seats in the U.S. House up for grabs in the Hoosier State and the Indiana House, currently narrowly Democratic.
Sarah Palin: If Joe Miller wins comfortably here, some will credit her last-minute rally on behalf of the GOP nominee as turning the tide after a series of stories harmful to his campaign. She would also be helped by a Christine O’Donnell win in Delaware.
Tim Pawlenty: While polls shows Democrat Mark Dayton up in the gubernatorial contest, it is a 3-way contest and Republican Tom Emmer could pull this off. If he does, it helps Pawlenty.
Mitt Romney: He has sort of distanced himself from him home state. Scott Brown’s victory surely helped him, but that won’t matter much. Not sure any of the MA races going GOP will have much bearing on his anticipated bid for the 2012 nomination.
John Thune: Six years ago, his race was the most talked about in the nation. Now, he’s cruising to reelection. If his coattails help Kristi Noem oust Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin, he’ll be in a stronger position.
Newt Gingrich: If Carl Paladino wins in New York, then anything can happen.