In an AP poll in which, as Jim Geraghty notes, “46 percent identify as Democrat or leaning Democrat, 29 percent identify as Republican or leaning Republican . . . [,] George W. Bush is at 50 percent approval, 49 percent disapproval“.
Wonder what those numbers would look like if we used Gallup’s recent numbers which show near perfect parity between the parties:
In 2010, 45% of Americans identified as Democrats or said they were independent but leaned toward the Democratic Party, while 44% identified as Republicans or said they were independent but leaned Republican. The 1-point Democratic advantage is the party’s smallest since 2003, when the parties were even, and represents a sharp decline from the record 12-point Democratic advantage in 2008.
So, AP used party ID gap even higher, let me repeat, even higher than Democrats’ record advantage and still found W had 50% approval.
UPDATE: “Imagine,” NiceDeb quips, “how Bush would do in a fairly sampled poll.“