In a poll “conducted after the death of Osama bin Laden“, Gallup found that
Given a choice between Barack Obama and an unnamed Republican, 43% of registered voters say they are more likely to vote for Obama and 40% are more likely to vote for the Republican. This is essentially unchanged from April and February, when voters’ preferences were evenly split.”
“Imagine,” Jennifer Rubin quips, linking the poll, “if a really exciting Republican decided to run.”
What is interesting is that while only 43% would vote to reelect a man who won the White House with just shy of 53% of the popular vote,
Gallup Daily tracking documented a six-point increase in Obama’s overall job approval rating in three-day rolling averages before and after the May 1 announcement, from 46% to 52%. His approval rating has since stayed above 50%.
So, we see a near 10-point gap between his job approval and his re-elect number. Perhaps the higher approval reflects Americans expressing their momentary satisfaction with the president’s recent accomplishment. Or it may well indicate something else that for whatever reason, people wish to tell the pollster they approve of the president, but don’t want to see him reelected.