Yesterday, Rasmussen released a “national telephone survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters” showing Mitt Romney
. . . with 40% support to 24% for the former U.S. senator from Pennsylvania. This is Romney’s biggest lead to date and the highest level of support any GOP candidate has earned in regular surveying of the race. Two weeks ago, it was Santorum 39%, Romney 27%.
. . . .
In a one-on-one matchup, Romney now beats Santorum 50% to 38%. In the previous survey, Santorum was ahead of Romney 55% to 34%, the only time any challenger has led Romney nationally in a head-to-head match-up.
How quickly things change. I have some sense that we might see similar volatility in the matchup of the eventual Republican nominee against the failed Democratic incumbent, with the president’s internal polls showing his strong support considerably softer than he would like.
In five surveys of registered voters from December 2010 to September 2011, Marist found the percentage of voters planning to definitely vote for President Obama stayed in a relatively narrow range (36-40) whereas those intending to definitely vote against him never fell below 40 and once reached as high as 49.
Rasmussen finds that Obama’s strong approval rating has not exceeded 28% since December 2010 while his strong disapproval, only occasionally falling below 35%, that is, he has a smaller base of dedicated supporters than he has of dedicated opponents.
Perhaps, that’s why he seems to be running scared — and particularly eager to demonize the opposition.