Many Democrats, of late, seem particularly bullish on the 2012 election. The Republicans seem fractured, their enthusiasm dampened by a brutal contest for the party’s presidential nomination.
Yesterday, David A. Graham offered a thoughtful piece contending that Reports of the Republican Nominee’s Doom Are Greatly Exaggerated. The whole thing is well worth your time. His points include two relating to the precarious state of the economy as well as one reminding us about the unpopularity of the president’s policies and another anticipating Republican unity in the presidential contest.
He also notes that the “Obama Administration is overdue for a major scandal (despite the best efforts of congressional Republicans, neither Fast and Furious nor Solyndra seems to have had a major impact on public opinion).” Well, they might have more impact if the legacy media paid them more heed.
All too many news outlets do seem to offer the president undue deference.
Despite that deference, a number of recent surveys from Gallup (perhaps the most reliable pollster) have shown that even as the president is not faring as well as the narrative suggests. Yesterday, Ed Morrissey linked “the latest Gallup survey show[ing] that enthusiasm has begun to rise among Republicans — and remains flat among Democrats:”
By 53% to 45%, Republicans, including independents who lean Republican, are slightly more likely than Democrats and Democratic leaners to say they are “more enthusiastic than usual about voting” this year. Republicans have consistently led Democrats in voting enthusiasm since last fall, but to varying degrees.
Today’s Gallup tracking shows Mitt Romney leading Obama by 4 points:
NB: The title references this post: Now is the winter of conservative discontent