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SHOCK POLL: ROMNEY – 50%, OBAMA – 43%

Posted by Bruce Carroll at 2:59 pm - May 11, 2012.
Filed under: 2012 Presidential Election

Whoa…

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows Mitt Romney earning 50% of the vote and President Obama attracting 43% support. Four percent (4%) would vote for a third party candidate, while another three percent (3%) are undecided.

This is the first time Romney has reached the 50% level of support and is his largest lead ever over the president. It comes a week after a disappointing jobs report that raised new questions about the state of the economy.

But that’s not the most interesting part of the poll to me. It’s this….

A president’s Job Approval rating is one of the best indicators for assessing his chances of reelection. Typically, the president’s Job Approval rating on Election Day will be close to the share of the vote he receives. Currently, 44% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president’s job performance. That’s his lowest level of approval in two months. Fifty-five percent (55%) at least somewhat disapprove.

These are really bad numbers for Obama.

-Bruce (GayPatriot)

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8 Comments

  1. Obama’s Presidency…fork…some assembly required.

    Comment by AF_Vet — May 11, 2012 @ 3:16 pm - May 11, 2012

  2. Take a look at this link for Gallup polling in presidential races since 1936

    http://www.gallup.com/poll/110548/gallup-presidential-election-trialheat-trends-19362004.aspx

    There is a lot of football left to play, but numbers in the mid 40′s are not how an incumbent should be polling in May. We are near a point where it can be said; the election is Romney’s to lose.

    Comment by Geena — May 11, 2012 @ 3:26 pm - May 11, 2012

  3. I love these numbers although they must be taken with a grain of salt since it’s early, since tracking polls are sort of jumpy, and since it is difficult to determine just who is likely to vote.

    I hope Mitt avoids the issue of SSM and sticks to economic issues. I tend to believe that candidates do best not when they run left or right on social issues but when they generally avoid them.

    Comment by chad — May 11, 2012 @ 7:10 pm - May 11, 2012

  4. Well, chad, Obama is campaigning, so far, on nothing but social issues. The war on women, the nastiness of the under taxed rich, the poor illegal aliens, the inequality of gays, and all his other “social justice” one-sided hokum.

    The liberals scream bloody murder about social conservatives and then proceed to push their social liberalism at full throttle. I guess that is because only liberals have the “true” inside track on how things ought to be.

    Comment by heliotrope — May 11, 2012 @ 7:33 pm - May 11, 2012

  5. The only polls that I deem accurate now are ones that poll likely voters, not adults or registered voters. I’ve said this many times, but we’ll have a good idea who will be elected by August as people lock their votes in about then based upon the economy.

    Comment by davinci — May 11, 2012 @ 10:50 pm - May 11, 2012

  6. Heliotrope, you should know better. Liberals are superior to us conservatives and libertarians, and their views are the sole ones deemed appropriate in polite company.

    Comment by davinci — May 11, 2012 @ 10:59 pm - May 11, 2012

  7. I hope the poll is correct but I believe Republicans and conservatives should believe the poll with the worst numbers for Romney and work that much harder to defeat Obama.
    This election will be incredibly tough.

    Comment by Andrew — May 12, 2012 @ 7:53 am - May 12, 2012

  8. Rasmussen polls.
    Probably the question was,
    Would you vote for socialist Barack Hussein Obama or honest businessman Romney?

    RCP has an average which is a better indicator. Don’t blindly trust conservative biased polls without questioning.

    I said blindly, oops romney must be giggling ( he guided a blind professor through a closed door. Yeah, we all did that! We were such kidders)

    Comment by George insane — May 12, 2012 @ 3:07 pm - May 12, 2012

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