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Skeptical that Obama’s statement on gay marriage changed minds

May 23, 2012 by B. Daniel Blatt

The Washington Post finds signs that the President’s recent plea for gay contributions to his campaign may have changed a few minds on gay marriage:

Public opinion continues to shift in favor of same-sex marriage, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll, which also finds initial signs that President Obama’s support for the idea may have changed a few minds.

Overall, 53 percent of Americans say gay marriage should be legal, hitting a high mark in support while showing a dramatic turnaround from just six years ago, when just 36 percent thought it should be legal. Thirty-nine percent, a new low, say gay marriage should be illegal.

Color me skeptical; the poll oversampled Democrats, giving the Democrats a ten-point advantage.  Their March sample only gave the president’s party a 4-point advantage and then 52 percent of Americans backed same-sex marriage.  If the poll had used a sample similar to the one they used two months ago, it is entirely likely that it would have registered a drop in support of same-sex marriage as did the recent Gallup poll.

If it’s true, as the poll indicates (and as Allahpundit reports) “that 54 percent of blacks supported O’s announcement versus 37 percent who disapproved”, one wonders the president didn’t make his annoucement before the North Carolina vote on Amendment One when he might have been able to change a few minds on that unfortunate proposition.

Filed Under: 2012 Presidential Election, Gay Marriage

Comments

  1. Robert Hewes says

    May 23, 2012 at 8:38 pm - May 23, 2012

    “one wonders the president didn’t make his annoucement before the North Carolina vote on Amendment One when he might have been able to change a few minds on that unfortunate proposition.”

    One would almost think Obama’s brave stand was, I dunno, cynical?

  2. B. Daniel Blatt says

    May 23, 2012 at 9:58 pm - May 23, 2012

    Robert, did you have an ancestor who signed the Declaration of Independence?

  3. Bastiat Fan says

    May 23, 2012 at 10:36 pm - May 23, 2012

    Robert:

    I do. His name was John Adams.

  4. B. Daniel Blatt says

    May 24, 2012 at 12:00 am - May 24, 2012

    Bastiat, very cool. 🙂 I am a big fan of Mr. Adams and was long before the McCullough biography, indeed, date my admiration for the man all the way back to the first time I saw 1776 (the musical). After which, I read much about the man. . .

    Joseph Hewes represented North Carolina in the Continental Congress and signed the Declaration.

  5. The_Livewire says

    May 24, 2012 at 8:03 am - May 24, 2012

    I honestly don’t know if we’re related to either Morris on the Constitution.

    I do claim (with at least as much legitimacy as Elizabeth Warren’s Cherokee) a young leftennant at Balaclava.

    History Prof: One leftennant was able to lead his unit through the valley, and engage the gunners on the far side. When the order to retreat sounded, he brought his troops back through the valley in good order.
    Me: Of course he did. If anyone could it would be him.
    Prof: What do you mean?
    Me: He was a Morris, after all.

  6. Cinesnatch says

    May 24, 2012 at 2:00 pm - May 24, 2012

    Enjoy the read, Dan.

  7. MV says

    May 24, 2012 at 6:23 pm - May 24, 2012

    1. I don’t take polls seriously because I don’t think you can judge the social climate based on the opinions of a few hundred maybe thousands of people, but what I do find interesting is that the reason support for same-sex marriage seems to be increasing in the polls is because Democrats are now showing support. So that means that they were just as much against it as the Republicans were so gay organization should have be just as attacking them to.

    2. If black people are going to start supporting same-sex marriage simple because Obama does then that may explain why they are in the position that they are in. Black people need to stop with racial loyalty BS because when you base a decision on something shallow you get something shallow in return.

  8. Bastiat Fan says

    May 24, 2012 at 7:43 pm - May 24, 2012

    Hey, B. Daniel @4: Thanks! Not surprisingly, I’m a pretty big fan, too. And the McCullough biography was AWESOME. Really brought him to life as a person. His son (John Quincy) wasn’t exactly an underachiever, either. LOL

    Cheers!

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