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Americans seem favorably disposed to reelecting a GOP House

July 19, 2012 by B. Daniel Blatt

In a detailed analysis of the race for the 113th House of Representatives, Stuart Rothenberg offers some sobering news for Democrats:

Democratic strategists need a dramatic shift in the House playing field if they are going to have any chance of netting the 25 seats they need to regain a majority in the House of Representatives. And that outcome looks increasingly remote.

Right now, the outlook for the House is anywhere from a small GOP gain to a modest Democratic gain in the single digits — not close to what Democrats hoped for as the cycle began.

(Via HotAir headlines.)  Given the likelihood that Republicans will retain their majority in the House and, at minimum increase their representation in the Senate, you’d expect journalists to ask the president how he, should he win a second term, he plans to govern with a Republican House ill-disposed to his big-government initiatives.

If the Democrat does succeed in beating Mitt Romney this will, he will not do so on the strength of his ideas or support for his policies, but on his ability to define and demonize his Republican rival.  He will, in short, have no mandate.

But, then, maybe the state of play in the House races suggests a different outcome in the race for the White House.

Filed Under: 2012 Congressional Elections

Comments

  1. Richard Bell says

    July 19, 2012 at 8:53 pm - July 19, 2012

    We are at a point where even the upper west side NYC jewish voters may stay home.

  2. anon23532 says

    July 20, 2012 at 10:50 am - July 20, 2012

    Maybe more Democrats should be in favor of repealing Obamacare. There’s the pending Defense sequestration and the Bush tax law extension that the Democrats intend to delay in favor of playing politics.

  3. Kevin says

    July 21, 2012 at 4:42 am - July 21, 2012

    1-Well, there’s a comment that raises the tone of political discourse in America. Thanks for playing.

  4. Sebastian Shaw says

    July 21, 2012 at 9:53 am - July 21, 2012

    Stuart Rothenberg didn’t mention a Republican wave; his article is centered around the Democrats.

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