Of the major polls, the CBS News/New York Times survey tends to oversample Democrats most often. In the latest such survey released last night, Ed Morrissey finds that the pollsters gave Democrats a six-point advantage over Republicans. Despite this advantage, Romney leads:
Forty-seven percent of registered voters nationwide who lean towards a candidate back Romney, while 46 percent support the president. Four percent are undecided. The 1 percentage point difference is within the survey’s three-point margin of error.
And this after outspending Mr. Romney on campaign ads. We are, Morrissey observes, “seeing no trending changes while they bury Romney with” such ads:
Not only have they failed to build any momentum, what harbingers there are to find in this poll show stirrings for Romney. Enthusiasm is up among Republicans and down among Democrats, as I noted yesterday, and Obama’s approval ratings on issues are all under water now. . . .
One wonders what the Obama team is seeing in their internal polling.
UPDATE: Jim Geraghty has more on this poll.