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Missourians don’t want to give Claire McCaskill another term

Posted by B. Daniel Blatt at 4:30 am - August 21, 2012.
Filed under: 2012 Congressional Elections

According to Public Policy Polling whose surveys skew slightly Democratic:

Missouri voters strongly disagree with the comments Todd Akin made about abortion over the weekend, but it hasn’t moved the numbers a whole lot in the Senate race. Akin leads Claire McCaskill by a single point, 44-43. That’s basically identical to our last poll of the contest in late May, which found Akin ahead by a 45-44 spread.

(Via HotAir headlines.) And that despite “75% of voters, including even 64% of Republicans”, saying they found the candidate’s comments inappropriate.   Not just that, his ratings have taken a tumble, with only “24% of voters have a favorable opinion of him to 58% with a negative one.”

What’s keeping him afloat is voter dislike of the incumbent, Democrat McCaskill.  These numbers, report PPP’s Tom Jensen speak to

McCaskill’s continued unpopularity. Only 41% of voters approve of the job she’s doing to 53% who disapprove and for many voters their dislike of McCaskill trumps their concerns about Akin.

Maybe Mr. Akin could clean up his image in the next 80 days. Or maybe he could drop out of the race, show himself to put a man of class who puts his party, his state and his nation ahead of his own ambition and ensure that Missourians won’t have to suffer another six years with a Senator they definitely want to replace.

UPDATE:  This poll, unlike most from PPP, appears not to skew toward the Dems.  Ed Morrissey looked at the Dem/GOP/Independent breakdown and found that the “significantly oversampled Republicans“, leading Paul Mirengoff that this was part of a strategy to keep Akin in the race:

PPP is a Democratic polling company that partners with the leftist outfit The Daily Kos. Typically, it’s polls do not significantly over-sample Republicans. I suspect this one did for the purpose of providing encouragement to Akin to stay in the race.

The Democrats have already done what they can to boost Akin. During the primary, theyreportedly spent more than $1 million in advertising designed to help Akin defeat his two more electable rivals.



  1. Um… don’t you find it curious that PPP suddenly decided to oversample Republicans in this most recent poll? It’s almost like the MSNBC of polling outfits wants Bonehead to stay in the race.

    Comment by V the K — August 21, 2012 @ 8:30 am - August 21, 2012

  2. Is a well organized write-in campaign possible?

    The motivation is there.

    Comment by Geena — August 21, 2012 @ 11:50 am - August 21, 2012

  3. In the past, I’ve felt that PPP was too quickly criticized and their polls to quickly dismissed by Republicans. Turns out I was wrong. PPP is every bit the partisan joke other Republicans claimed them to be.

    Akin is also a joke. He makes me ashamed to call myself a social conservative. I will always care about the pro-life issue unless and until someone can convince me that the unborn human is not actually a human life deserving protection. But I get so nauseated by much of the evangelical/family values faction of the Republican party. And I say this as an evangelical Christian who generally agrees with the positions of this part of the GOP. But the tone and manner of this faction within the GOP is just so off-putting. I’m pretty sure every non-Christian Republican feels this way even more strongly than I, and I worry about how welcome anyone to my left on the abortion issue feels when they hear such people talk. To be sure, I’m glad that Akin has been castigated by pretty much the whole party. I’d rather lose this seat than have the rest of GOP tie themselves to Akin’s sinking ship.

    Geena is right. Can the MO GOP and the NRSC get a write-in going? Sure, it’s an uphill fight, but it worked for Murkowski, and she did it with little national support. We know that…

    (1) Akin is not the sort of guy we want as a senator even if he could somehow beat McCaskill. He’s likely to be an embarrassment in the future were he elected. And aside from his crazy abortion talk, the mere fact that he won’t quit in spite of everyone telling him to just shows how vain he is. So, he is, IMHO, not worth fighting for.

    (2) McCaskill is deeply unpopular in MO. We’ve got some room for error, since she wasn’t polling close to 50%.

    (3) The Democrats’ efforts in getting Akin selected can be used to shame the McCaskill campaign and extract some votes from her.

    (4) All of the publicity this has generated can be leveraged to get the word out about a write-in campaign.

    (5) The GOP grass roots is fired-up and capable of things that may not be true in a normal election.

    I have no illusion that a write-in campaign would be difficult, but I still think it’s worth a try. Of course, it’s still better for Akin to quit now, even though replacing him will be harder now than it would have been had he quite earlier today.

    Comment by chad — August 21, 2012 @ 7:15 pm - August 21, 2012

  4. Due to Akin’s intransigence, it’s now too-late for the Missouri GOP to replace him on the ballot….almost-guaranteeing that the Mo. Senate seat stays in the Democratic-column.

    Comment by Ted B. (Charging Rhino) — August 22, 2012 @ 12:59 am - August 22, 2012

  5. Is a well organized write-in campaign possible?

    Ann Coulter seems to think it is. On “Hannity” the other night, she was advocating a write-in campaign with a popular candidate who happens to have an easy-to-spell name, like, for example, Kit Bond. She contends this is the only way the seat can be salvaged for the Republicans (or anyone other than McCaskill). She as well mentioned the success of Lisa Murkowski, and with a much harder-to-spell name.

    Comment by RSG — August 24, 2012 @ 4:57 am - August 24, 2012

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