Welcome Powerline readers!
For the better part of the year, even as President Obama enjoyed a modest lead in most polls, I wondered why his campaign was acting so desperate, perhaps because his approval remained below 50% or perhaps because rarely topped that number in head-to-head match-ups against Mitt Romney.
I’m not alone in noticing this. On Friday, commenting on the biased media coverage of this campaign, RedState’s Erick Erickson titled his post, Not the Behavior of a Winning Campaign. (Via Ed Driscoll.)
Finding the tone of the “fundraising emails” he has “received from Barack Obama or his surrogates” increasingly desperate, John Hinderaker wonders “how bad must Obama’s internal polling be, to cause him to whine and beg in such pathetic fashion”.
I’ve wondered the same thing, but now I have another thought — perhaps the Democrat’s internals track closely with the national polls and show that the $120 million he spent over the summer “in hopes of”, as John put it quoting an Obama advisor, “killing Romney,” hasn’t been as effective as they hoped. The ads may have pushed Romney’s numbers down, but haven’t made him an unacceptable alternative to a failed incumbent.
Indeed, the polls are tighter now than when Obama began his anti-Romney advertising barrage. And perhaps that’s what’s making the Obama team sound so desperate. Their strategy isn’t working. They had hoped to have knocked Mitt Romney out by now, perhaps in the hopes of running a more upbeat fall campaign. [Read more…]