“Fifty-two percent of likely voters” reports the Hill’s Sheldon Alberis, commenting on his paper’s poll . . .
. . . say the nation is in “worse condition” now than in September 2008, while 54 percent say Obama does not deserve reelection based solely on his job performance.
Only 31 percent of voters believe the nation is in “better condition,” while 15 percent say it is “about the same,” the poll found. Just 40 percent of voters said Obama deserves reelection.
(Via Instapundit.) Perhaps this low number has already shown up in the Democrat’s internal polls, accounting for his campaign’s recent anxiety. With only 40% of voters saying Obama deserves reelection, he needs to win not just those neutral on the topic of his reelection, but also about 10% of those who believe he does not deserve reelection if he wants to win reelection.
Or at least keep those folks away from the polls while ensuring that his supporters turn out en masse.
That may well be a challenge as other data suggest declining enthusiasm among Obama’s supporters.
And there’s rising enthusiasm among Republicans. On July 18, in the midst of Obama’s barrage of attacks on Mitt Romney and before the then-presumptive Republican nominee had tapped Paul Ryan as his running mate, Ed Morrissey reported that the CBS News/New York Times poll found that “49% of Republicans and 29% of independents express[ed] increased enthusiasm for this election, while only 27% of Democrats say the same thing.”
A Gallup poll later that month showed similar results with only “only 39 percent of Democrats now say they are ‘more enthusiastic than usual’ about the 2012 election” compared to 51 percent of Republicans.
In 2004, “68 percent of Democrat were more enthusiastic than usual” about voting in that year’s presidential election.