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Are these the numbers causing so much anxiety in the Obama camp?

September 4, 2012 by B. Daniel Blatt

“Fifty-two percent of likely voters” reports the Hill’s Sheldon Alberis, commenting on his paper’s poll . . .

. . . say the nation is in “worse condition” now than in September 2008, while 54 percent say Obama does not deserve reelection based solely on his job performance.

Only 31 percent of voters believe the nation is in “better condition,” while 15 percent say it is “about the same,” the poll found. Just 40 percent of voters said Obama deserves reelection.

(Via Instapundit.) Perhaps this low number has already shown up in the Democrat’s internal polls, accounting for his campaign’s recent anxiety.  With only 40% of voters saying Obama deserves reelection, he needs to win not just those neutral on the topic of his reelection, but also about 10% of those who believe he does not deserve reelection if he wants to win reelection.

Or at least keep those folks away from the polls while ensuring that his supporters turn out en masse.

That may well be a challenge as other data suggest declining enthusiasm among Obama’s supporters.

And there’s rising enthusiasm among Republicans.  On July 18, in the midst of Obama’s barrage of attacks on Mitt Romney and before the then-presumptive Republican nominee had tapped Paul Ryan as his running mate, Ed Morrissey reported that the CBS News/New York Times poll found that “49% of Republicans and 29% of independents express[ed] increased enthusiasm for this election, while only 27% of Democrats say the same thing.”

A Gallup poll later that month showed similar results with only “only 39 percent of Democrats now say they are ‘more enthusiastic than usual’ about the 2012 election” compared to 51 percent of Republicans.

In 2004, “68 percent of Democrat were more enthusiastic than usual” about voting in that year’s presidential election.

Filed Under: Post 9-11 America

Comments

  1. V the K says

    September 4, 2012 at 5:17 pm - September 4, 2012

    Someone should fact check those numbers. I am sure they all vile lies.

  2. ILoveCapitalism says

    September 4, 2012 at 5:17 pm - September 4, 2012

    “incomplete” joins “you didn’t build that” in Death Rattles of the Obama Presidency.

    Up next: malaise.

  3. V the K says

    September 4, 2012 at 5:34 pm - September 4, 2012

    Hugh Hewitt is reporting that the voiceover in a DNC propaganda film includes the line: “Government is the only thing we all belong to.”

    The Democrats we belong to them.

  4. ILoveCapitalism says

    September 4, 2012 at 5:48 pm - September 4, 2012

    I do NOT belong to government. Not as an employee, not as a prisoner, and not as a citizen.

    As a productive citizen, though, the government is supposed to belong to me (among others). Maybe not in today’s world, but at least in principle – according to the Constitution.

    The DNC might have said something true if they’d said, “Government is the only thing we all own.” That they didn’t – that they said something we “belong to”, instead of something we “own” – speaks volumes.

    Clint Eastwood got it right, when he said we own the government: the government is (or should be) our employee, serving us at our pleasure.

  5. ILoveCapitalism says

    September 4, 2012 at 5:54 pm - September 4, 2012

    Really, this is a watershed in American life. DNC 2016 propaganda films will say “People must live to serve government”, and “Government is the only thing that gives life meaning.”

  6. chad says

    September 4, 2012 at 6:00 pm - September 4, 2012

    The big question with this election is whether the millions of unenthusiastic Obama voters get out to vote. Maybe we’ll see polls break against the president. Or maybe Romney will falter. But I think chances are pretty good that we’ll see the polls stay close up until election day. I think that there may just be too many people who aren’t really ready to vote for a Republican. The Republican brand is still pretty beat up, and I think there may be a lot of disenchanted Obama voters who aren’t easily reachable by Romney. However, I think a lot of these people just won’t show up. Or maybe they’ll vote third party as a sort of protest vote. On the other hand, I think Republicans and Romney-supporting (or, you could say, Obama-opposing) independents will not pass up their chance to vote for Romney and thereby prevent Obama’s reelection. Rasmussen’s passion index has long reflected Obama’s soft support and hard opposition. Even so, unenthusiastic voters who do show up count just as much as enthusiastic voters. I sure hope November 6 is rainy.

    One of the fantastic things about Paul Ryan is that he keeps the passion disparity high. He is exciting conservatives and generating huge crowds. However, I don’t think the Democrats have been nearly as successful as they thought they would be of getting their own fired up on account of Paul Ryan. Paul Ryan’s personality just doesn’t have a polarizing quality to it in the way that Palin did. (And I am a fan of her.) Also, he can handle any interview. The best liberals can do is get caught up in petty minutia from Ryan’s speech.

  7. heliotrope says

    September 4, 2012 at 6:02 pm - September 4, 2012

    Today, Rush coined the phrase “You didn’t fill that!” for when the Democrats abandon the stadium for a smaller rally venue.

    I’m not up on the current fad for Zombies, but from my aged day, they were like Democrats in Charlotte.

  8. V the K says

    September 4, 2012 at 6:09 pm - September 4, 2012

    I have fact checked “Government is the only thing we all belong to” and rated it “Like a rug.”

  9. ILoveCapitalism says

    September 4, 2012 at 6:14 pm - September 4, 2012

    Paul Ryan’s personality just doesn’t have a polarizing quality to it in the way that Palin did.

    That’s because Paul Ryan isn’t a woman, a woman who lefties say has a 100% “right to choose”, until she makes the un-left-wing, politically-incorrect “choice” of NOT aborting her Down Syndrome child.

    Also because Ryan isn’t a beautiful woman who apparently does “have it all” – career, kids, AND loving husband – thus making the leftie women feel jealous and inadequate.

  10. V the K says

    September 4, 2012 at 6:57 pm - September 4, 2012

    She also didn’t force her unwed daughter to have an abortion, and instead let her be “punished with a baby.”

    How much hatred of leftist women toward Palin is actually self-loathing, because they killed their own children and hate themselves for it?

  11. Bastiat Fan says

    September 4, 2012 at 8:51 pm - September 4, 2012

    There’s no “feeling” about it, V the K. Leftie women ARE jealous and inadequate. And, in my experience, not much to look at.

  12. Az Mo in NYC says

    September 4, 2012 at 9:49 pm - September 4, 2012

    Regardless, we can’t handle, as a nation, four more years of this @sshole as president.

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