I see news of next year’s “fiscal cliff” is finally getting through from the mainstream media today. Well, financial concern is one of the reasons for my travel binge the past two weeks. Just in case.
Here are some photos from Day One in Sydney, Australia. It is Tuesday morning as I post this.
Writing about “the latest CNN/ORC poll which shows President Obama with a three-point lead over Mitt Romney among likely voters, 50%-47%”, John Hinderaker looks at the internals:
So today’s CNN/ORC poll has Obama’s lead cut in half, to three points [from their previous poll which gave Obama a six-point lead]. Does that mean that Romney is surging? Not really. It means they didn’t call quite as many Democrats. This time, the pollsters gave us the partisan breakdown of their sample: D-37%, R-29% and I-34%. So when the partisan gap in the sample narrowed from D +12 to D +8, Romney did three points better. Well, yeah.
With Republican voters far more enthused about voting this year than they were four years ago and with Democrats not nearly as excited today as they were in the Year of Hope and Change, Ace asks, if Obama [is] really going to enjoy another 2008, with a +8 turnout advantage, a partisan margin one point more Democratic than it was in ’08.
Yeah, Democrats may well have an advantage this fall, but, it will more likely be about 2 to 4 points rather than 7 or 8. A 3-point Democratic advantage would turn Obama’s three-point advantage in the CNN/ORC poll to a 2-point disadvantage.
Not only does this poll show a trend toward Romney, but it also provides some indication that the race may not be playing out according to the “Conventional Wisdom.”
Writing about experiences similar to those our readers have reported, the gay blogger at ProtoType tells how a friend how has supported “an anti-gay marriage campaign” often welcomes him and his partner into their home, treating them in a friendly manner, then offers:
Pretty much without exception, I have found it markedly easier to be openly gay in conservative social groups, than openly conservative in liberal social groups.
When it becomes known you’re conservative in a liberal social group, faces often go from friendly to neutral and nonplussed. Often, someone will outright challenge you: “How can you possibly…?” The unconcealed emotions are ones of disgust (like at a bad smell) mixed with a sort of bemusement at the bizarre eccentricity of it.
Emphasis added. Sounds familiar, doesn’t it? (Read the whole thing.)
These folks claim to be “tolerant toward everyone”, well, except those they deem “stupid, ignorant, crazy, racist, homophobic, greedy, xenophobic, misogynist, or hateful.” They do tend to affix those labels to individuals offering a political viewpoint different from their own.
Interesting that blogger’s observation that certain liberals don’t even make an effort to conceal the disgust they feel toward political conservatives.
FROM THE COMMENTS: Carol observes that “The ones hollering for ‘tolerance’ are always the most intolerant people in the crowd. Hypocrisy on parade.”
Earlier today, the Boston Herald reporter that, in the battle for Massachusetts’s 6th Congressional District, Republican Richard Tisei has opened up a 6-point lead over 7-term incumbent John Tierney. 37 percent favor the challenger with only 31 percent pulling for the incumbent. “Thirty percent said they were undecided.”
It’s bad news when any incumbent polls below 50 percent, but with Tierney nearly twenty points below that threshold, signs are good that he won’t be returning to Washington next fall. His loss would not only mean the loss of a second Democratic seat from the Bay State*, it would also mean that Massachusetts would still be sending a gay man to Washington, but this time, a Republican favoring small government rather than a mean-spirited Democrat voting, as if by rote, for nearly every bill expanding the size — and scope — of the federal government.
On the issues, Tisei is exactly where we would like him, a fiscal conservative concerned that our “economy is being strangled by unprecedented debt, spending, and over-regulation.” This Republican knows that “Government does not create wealth or jobs in this country”:
We need to strengthen the conditions that lead to entrepreneurial growth and jobs for our people. Right now, job creators remain unsure of future tax rates and massive regulatory burdens coming from Washington. Our experience of the last 3 years makes clear that such an approach doesn’t work. “Obamacare” is but one of many massive new burdens being imposed on job creators. In 2011 alone, the Obama Administration proposed 219 new regulations, each of which would cost $100 million or more to implement. Job creators simply cannot move under such over-regulation.
Sounds like my kind of guy. And that’s why I’m endorsing Richard Tisei for the United States Congress.
Don’t let that poll give you a false sense of comfort. It shows that Tisei has a good chance to win, but that he still needs make his case to undecided voters. If he can get his message out, he can convince those who have yet to make up their minds that he has the better plan to promote economic growth and encourage opportunity. Join me in supporting this good man.
Wouldn’t it be great to have an openly gay, fiscally conservative Republican representing Massachusetts in the United States Congress?
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. . . .since we moved from Blogspot.
I’ve always wondered whether you can make much of the number of yard signs and bumper stickers you see during a presidential (or any) campaign. They do tend to show enthusiasm. From reports (e.g. here and here) I’ve read on several blogs, it seems Romney signs are abundant in swing states.
Today, I received two additional swing state reports, one from a friend in my native Cincinnati, Ohio saying that he was seeing Obama signs, but “nothing like” four years ago, “Much fewer and far between.” And he has seen more Romney signs. On Facebook, a friend in Denver posted that “Walking near Cheeseman Park I just saw six separate houses on one block with Romney/Ryan signs. Color me astonished.” As I understand it, that’s not a very Republican area of Colorado’s largest (and most Democratic) city.
Maybe we’d see more signs if more Republicans were willing to put up with trouble of having their signs stolen or their cars keyed. The Twitchy Staff report how some liberals revel in such juvenile antics, with conservatives “their Romney/Ryan bumper stickers and yard signs are being stolen and vandalized”
These thieves and vandals aren’t just skulking away into the night. Many are taking to Twitter to brag about swiping and defacing signs, including one guy who used a Romney sign like Occupiers use cop cars.
Read the tweets in the post linked above and wonder why those folks harbor so much animus against their political opponents.
FWIW: been seeing a lot fewer Obama signs in my very “blue” neighborhood. Drove today from LA to Anaheim and didn’t see a single Obama bumper sticker, but did see a Romney/Ryan one. . . .
UPDATE: Glenn Reynolds includes reports from readers who’ve been noticing the same things my friends have. A man from Hillard, Ohio, a “suburb on the western side of the Columbus Ohio outerbelt” wrote that he and his wife. . .
. . . drove around for about three hours on Saturday doing some garage sale shopping and saw more Mitt Romney signs than I ever expected to see. Romney signs were present over Obama signs by a factor of 10 to 1. (more…)
in response to an Advocate piece contending that “Former U.N. ambassador John Bolton uses homophobic term to describe President Obama’s foreign policy“, Richard Grenell wrote a letter to the Advocate, taking issue with their assessment. As the magazine has yet to publish his letter, we are posting it here:
The Advocate’s Michelle Garcia’s latest piece fails to mention that John Bolton has been a consistent defender of gay rights, gay marriage and a critic of Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell before it was overturned, Garcia also fails to show how Bolton’s comment describing President Obama as a weak leader is in anyway homophobic.
I also find it ironic that while The Advocate has consistently refused to report on John Bolton’s early support for Log Cabin Republicans and gay rights, they jump to write a phony and purposefully deceptive piece about him – all because he is a Republican. Calling a conservative friend of our community homophobic is a self-inflicted wound. Are Advocate writers so in the tank for the Democrats that they attack a supporter of gay rights just because he’s not a Democrat? Garcia’s story is the perfect example of how the old gay guard and its magazine of choice is out of touch with gay Americans today. Yesterday’s warriors of acceptance have morphed into today’s liberal intolerants. This is the exact faux outrage that makes The Advocate the magazine of your old gay uncle. It isn’t a serious place for news or information.
Please note that I merely cut and pasted the letter without adding — or altering a word.