Commenting on my post about the apparent abundance of Romney signs in swing states, our reader Bastiat Fan who lives in Vancouver, Washington just across the river from Portland has been
. . . STUNNED by the amount of Obama TV ads I’m seeing. It doesn’t get much bluer than the Portland metro area, so why is he spending all that money HERE, of all places? I suspect their internal polling is scaring them. I don’t believe all the media spin about polls….it looks like what we used to call “whistling past the graveyard” to me.
I do recall seeing a polls or two in the summer that had Obama well below 50 in the Beaver State and Mitt Romney not far behind.
Could this state which hasn’t gone Republican since 1984 be in play? And if Oregon is in play, could Maine and Minnesota also be competitive?
UPDATE: Picking up on this post, Michael Barone reminds us how close Oregon was in the 2000 and 2004 elections and speculates that
. . . someone in the Obama campaign somewhere are concerned that Libertarian party nominee Gary Johnson may cut into Obama’s vote in Oregon, which could make Mitt Romney competitive as George W. Bush was in 2000. After 2000 many left-leaning voters were wary of third party candidates like Nader, for fear that votes for them would elect a Republican. But Johnson differs from Nader in one important way: the former governor of New Mexico favors liberalizing the laws against marijuana.
Read the whole thing.