In the past two days, we’ve seen a spate of polls challenging the conventional wisdom that President Obama has built up an insurmountable lead over Mitt Romney. Each of these three polls POLITICO/George Washington University Battleground Poll, the CNN poll and the NBC/WSJ poll, showed Obama’s margin diminishing compared to its previous survey.
And there was one poll, the United Technologies/National Journal Congressional Connection Poll showing the race tied at 47. Like the Battleground and CNN surveys, this poll also shows Romney carrying independents, leading them by “49 percent to 41 percent”, the same 8-point margin CNN found. Ace notes that the survey was D+7, meaning that it forecasts a turnout nearly identical to the 2008 election.
Two things to note, as the election approaches, voters seem to be drifting away from Barack Obama and independents seem to be breaking toward Mitt Romney.
Perhaps, this Rasmussen data point that Drudge highlighted on Monday may be more significant than the top-line poll numbers: