As I’ve mentioned before, I grew up in Pennsylvania’s Philly suburbs. And I’ve posted here before some suggestions that perhaps since 1988, the Keystone State may be in play and moving to Romney.
Our commenters in Pennsylvania have provided on-the-ground anecdotal evidence supporting this possibility.
There are some big new developments this week in my hunt for the Electoral White Whale.
– ABC News moved Pennsylvania and Minnesota to the “Toss-Up” category this past weekend.
– The Romney campaign today announced a significant ad buy in the expensive Philadelphia TV market. Karl Rove’s American Crossroads has already had significant ads running over the past two weeks in the Philly area.
Wow, what a flip from 2008. Republicans are currently crushing Democrats in Pennsylvania absentee ballot returns by 19 points! Republican ballot returns are at 55% while Democrats are just at 36%! Still don’t think PA is winnable? Also you should factor in that many Democrats in Pennsylvania are socially conservative and/or work for coal plants. So Obama is not only trailing in Democrat ballot returns, but I’d suspect a fairly significant portion of Democrats will vote for Mitt Romney over Obama in that state.
Well, well, well.
LATE UPDATE: FOX News’ Ed Henry just reported that the Obama campaign is spending $650,000 in TV ads in Pennsylvania. Remember, this was never supposed to be anything but a sure thing for the President’s re-elect.