Democrats must be happy with the latest CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac surveys which show Obama up in three swing states. Conservative bloggers have been quick to cite the partisan skew of those surveys, with each anticipating a greater Democratic edge than in 2008.
But, despite this skew, each survey shows greater Republican enthusiasm in each state, up 16 points over the Democrats in Florida, 14 in Ohio and 7 in Virginia. In each state, Republican enthusiasm has increased since the previous survey, causing Stacy McCain to ask,
How is it that Republicans report greater voting enthusiasm by such large margins, and yet are underrepresented in the poll’s sample? It makes no sense.
(H/t: Reader Kurt.) “In all three states,” Ed Morrissey concludes, Obama has
. . . lost ground by double digits in the gap with independents. In all three states, Republican enthusiasm is significantly higher than Democratic enthusiasm. I’d say that the only possible way Obama could be leading under those circumstances is to seriously undercount Republicans.
GOP enthusiasm up. Independents swinging toward Mitt Romney. The internals of these polls certainly suggest an electorate favoring the Republicans.