While most political prognosticators have been saying that Republicans stand in good stead to hold the House of Representatives this fall, a good number have suggested that Democrats are likely to shave a few seats off the GOP majority.
At the Weekly Standard Fred Barnes reports that “Democratic hopes of capturing the House next Tuesday are long gone. And Democrats now could wind up actually losing seats“:
David Wasserman, the Cook Political Report’s expert on House races, changed his rating of 15 contested House races, 11 of them to the benefit of Republicans. For example, Republican Bob Dold, supposedly doomed because his affluent district north of Chicago was badly gerrymandered, now is in a tossup race.
The Report now rates 28 races as Tossups. If those races “were to divide evenly between the parties,” Wasserman says, “Democrats would score a net gain of a single seat in the House”.
But, with Republican enthusiasm as strong as it is, Republicans could win the lion’s share of those seats — and thus increase the size of their majority.