From the GayPatriot Command Center’s 2012 Decision Desk, I am prepared to make this call:
NORTH CAROLINA GOES TO MITT ROMNEY FOR PRESIDENT.
Here’s why from my friend Scott Elliott, the Blogging Caeser.
Despite rumors of a mega uptick in Democrats registering since 2008, less have voted at this point in the early voting process than in 2008. On the other hand, more Republicans and Unaffiliateds have voted than at this point in 2008.These numbers represent a drop of 4.9% for Democrats and a rise of 2.58% and 2.18% for Republicans and Unaffiliateds, respectively.If Unaffiliateds vote for Obama at the same rate they did in 2008 (impossibly unlikely, in my view), then Obama’s >1% victory in 2008 becomes an 8-point Romney victory.If Unaffiliateds vote for Romney more than they voted for McCain, you can increase that lead by a point or two.
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