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GAYPATRIOT ELECTION NIGHT PROJECTION MAP

UPDATED AT 11:50PM EASTERN TIME

This is our running Election Night Map as projected by the GayPatriot Decision Desk. We will be using a variety of methods to “call a state”. Unlike the networks, we are calling most states before the polls close.

This is our current map (explained further here) at 11:50PM Eastern Time.

 

Join our Election Discussion here.

GAYPATRIOT ELECTION NIGHT COVERAGE

11:55PM (Bruce) - Let’s get real folks.  Ohio is close, maybe headed for a recount.  But both Florida and Virginia actual vote totals look like a win for Obama that is unsurmountable by Romney.

11:45PM (Bruce) - Despite the fury about Ohio right now, it seems pretty realistic to suggest that Florida and Virginia are going to Obama.  The map will be updated in a second….  Again, this map is my projection.  Some of these states (Nevada) haven’t been called.  But it appears to be a Democrat+6 turnout, so it becomes unreasonable to assume Nevada won’t go to Obama at this point.

11:41PM (Bruce) - So I’ve updated the map in the assumption that this is over.  I am damn ass furious about the fact that Ohio was called when it appears the margin is less than 1,000 votes with over 400,000 votes left.  Of course, this map can change. But it seems reasonably likely that the current map will stick.  I think??

11:28PM (Bruce) - Oh lordy. Here we go again…. the Ohio call is being second guessed now by Romney campaign and Karl Rove.  Our media completely sucks.  Why can’t we wait until EVERY VOTE IS COUNTED????

11:20PM (Bruce) – Well that appears to be it.  FOX has added Iowa and that brings President Obama to 275 Electoral Votes.

I’m updating the map as I type.  Just a note to defend myself…. had the election been held last Monday, I think Romney would have won.  But today is Election Day.

11:15PM (Bruce) - FOX News has just called Ohio for Obama.  Looks like game over.

11:10PM (Bruce) - Updated the map again.  News from Florida is starting to look grim for Romney.

11:00PM (Bruce) - FOX News has finally called North Carolina…. I’d note that I called it last week.  Ha.  About the only thing I’ve gotten right all night it seems!!!

10:55PM (Bruce) - It is pretty clear that the Michael Barone turnout model was wrong, and the Karl Rove model is right.  So with that, I’ve updated the Electoral Map above with a more realistic projection reflected.  I still have a hunch about Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, though I expect they will both go to Obama eventually based on the night’s trends.

10:40PM (Bruce) - Okay, I’ve updated our Electoral Projection map (above).  And I’m back on my main Twitter feed (@GayPatriot).

A couple more notes, I’m still not confident of Pennsylvania or Wisconsin.  So bear with me on the map!

9:57 PM (Bruce) - Hey folks!  Just did my hit on Franklin Center’s election coverage.  Check it out, they’ll be going all night live from Washington, DC.  So I’ve updated our Decision Desk map.  I’m still holding on giving Pennsylvania to Obama.  I am not confident in that call quite yet and need to see more actual votes from Philly suburbs.  Obama’s early lead in Western PA has now evaporated.

I am still very confident that Romney will take Florida and North Carolina.  I’m aware that FOX has called New Hampshire for Obama.  I’m going to check some sources on that.  Be back soon.

9:15PM (Bruce) - FOX News has called Pennsylvania for Obama.  I respect that call and will agree after I look at actual vote totals from some key Pennsylvania counties.  Additionally, I’ll update our map to reflect Illinois going to Obama in the next 30 minutes.

9:11PM (Bruce) - NBC News projects that the Republicans will retain control of the US House of Representatives.  Another early call from the GayPatriot Decision Desk from last week.

8:51PM (Bruce) -   Taking a dinner break!

8:30PM ET (Bruce) - FOX News just calls Pat McCrory (R) for Governor of North Carolina.  FINALLY! First Governor from Western North Carolina.

8:00PM ET (Bruce) – Many states have closed, no surprises.  And no “calls” from any major news organization. I watched NBC Nightly News at 6:30PM and got the impression that the networks are being VERY conservative.

(more…)

1980 Flashback, Mainstream Media Shocked By Polls vs. Votes

A New Leaf…

Posted by ColoradoPatriot at 4:59 pm - November 6, 2012.
Filed under: A New Independence Movement

So here’s a bold statement that will likely come as no surprise (or scandal) to many who read this blog regularly:

It doesn’t quite matter that much who wins today’s presidential election.

I don’t mean this in the cliche sense of “they’re all corrupt” or in the (Big “L”) Libertarian sense that there’s no real difference between the parties nor their standard-bearers’ preferred policies.

I mean it, rather, to emphasize that tonight (or tomorrow, or next week, or whenever…) after the votes have been cast and counted, a new Administration is determined, or the current one continues for another term, it still comes down to you and me.

(more…)

Just voted in West Hollywood

Posted by B. Daniel Blatt at 3:09 pm - November 6, 2012.
Filed under: 2012 Presidential Election,LA Stories

It took me about 20 minutes to vote at my polling place.  The lines weren’t particularly long.  Four precincts voted in the same location and mine was the only one with a line.  When I arrived, one precinct had only one voter:

We had to check in three times, but they never once asked for ID, first at the front door where they directed us to the appropriately colored table, then once at that table, first by our last name, then by street address. It struck me that the man who lived in my apartment before I moved in was still on the books. He moved out in June 1999.

This is the shot of the whole gym where I voted:

GAYPATRIOT ELECTION NIGHT COVERAGE: Housekeeping Post

Posted by Bruce Carroll at 2:39 pm - November 6, 2012.
Filed under: 2012 Presidential Election

Good afternoon from the GayPatriot Eastern Election Command Center in South Carolina. 

We will be having two main posts tonight where you can join us for Election Night Coverage. 

Beginning at 5PM Eastern Time, our page will feature our GayPatriot Projection Map and will be changed as our Decision Desk calls the states.   The Decision Desk is essentially Bruce & Dan with the aid of as much information as we can absorb until we are confident to call a state.  We WILL be calling the states earlier than most all major networks, as we have already called North Carolina and Florida for Mitt Romney – based on actual early voting results.

Below the map will be live embedded Internet TV coverage via The Franklin Center, of which we are part of their network tonight.

Our second post at the top of the page will be our Election Night Commentary.  Both Dan and I will be posting in that space and we will time-stamp our comments so that the most recent is at the top.   This will be where you can join in through the Comments section on that post.

Finally, beginning at 5PM Eastern Time — I will be Live Tweeting the Election Night on my secondary Twitter account – @GayPat2.  Please follow that account as well as my normal account @GayPatriot.  I’ll probably switch over to the main Twitter account around 11PM Eastern.  There’s a reason for this, but it is too ridiculous to explain.

-Bruce (@GayPatriot & @GayPat2)

The Obama record on gay marriage: evolution without action

Today, many gay Americans will vote (or have already) enthusiastically for Barack Obama in large part because of his recent evolution on gay marriage.

This evolution, however, has not translated into action.  He has yet to put forward a legislation to recognize same-sex marriages — or even same-sex civil unions.  Nor has he pressed Congress to repeal the Defense of Marriage Act (DOMA).  He hasn’t even sat down with congressional leaders to map out a strategy.

He never reached out personally to Republicans open (or potentially open) to backing gay marriage to ask for their help in realizing federal recognizing of same-sex unions.  Just as it was with gay marriage, so was it with immigration reform.  Four years ago, he promised Hispanic voters that he would pass immigration reform in his first year in office.

And except for a few perfunctory meetings, he never tried to forge a compromise with legislators from both parties.  He just didn’t make any effort to realize his promises.

The bottom line here is to repeat what we said last month.  Barack Obama’s evolution on gay marriage was for nothing; if he’s reelected he has said, he won’t do anything to push for federal recognition of same-sex marriages.  Or even civil unions.

As it is with gay marriage in 2012, it was with immigration reform in 2008:   Barack Obama was pandering in order to secure the votes and campaign cash of an important constituency.

After 4 years of Hope & Change™, Nation Is More Divided Than Ever

Four years after Hope and Change™, we are, as a county, more divided than ever.  A liberal friend posted on my Facebook page that Mitt Romney makes her sick.  How did she come to gain that opinion of a good, decent and compassionate man?

Other friends have called him a “vulture capitalist” or repeated slurs about his faith.  Where do these slurs get started?  Have top Democrats differentiated themselves from such rhetoric?  Has Obama himself asked his supporters to tone it down and to focus on the issues?

No, instead, he tells them that “voting is the best revenge.”  For that Democrat, as Ed Morrissey puts it, Spite and revenge is the new hope and change:

. . . Obama’s “revenge” remarks are at least as revealing about this campaign, and of Obama’s approach to both this election and to public policy, as were Romney’s 47 percent statements. The president, in both his campaign and his administration, has gone fully populist, attempting to divide the country along class lines as a distraction from his record in his term in office. In fact, the best description of Obama’s politics since September 2011 is “the politics of revenge.”

Read the whole thing.  (Via Instapundit.)

ADDENDUM:  If you have friends on both sides of the political aisle, just take a gander at your Facebook feed, you’ll often wonder what happened to civil discourse.  Our side abandons civility too sometimes.  But, at least the GOP presidential nominee is not encouraging such rhetoric.

Obamacare makes health care much less affordable

The Democrats and President Obama called their massive health care overhaul legislation, “the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act. ” But, to those like myself who buy our own health insurance, it has made health care anything even less affordable; our insurance premiums have skyrocketed.  Mine have increased 45% since the legislation passed.  Other friends have seen even more steep increases.

That’s just one of the problems created by the unpopular legislation.  Some companies are now shifting to part-time workers in order to avoid the penalties imposed by the law:

Under the health care law, if an company has more than 50 “full time equivalent” workers, a combination of full and part-time employees, but doesn’t offer “affordable” coverage that meets the government’s minimum value standard, the company will have to pay a penalty. This penalty is determined by the number of full-time employees minus 30 full-time employees. So to reiterate a very important point: part-time workers are not part of the penalty formula. The health care law creates a perverse incentive to hire part-time versus full-time workers.

(Bold in original.)  Read the whole thing.

And drawing a smaller salary as part-time workers, these individuals will have even less money to spend on a product that has become more expensive, making health care even less affordable to them –as it is any American who buys his own insurance.

Bear this in mind today as you go to vote.  Mitt Romney has promised to repeal Obamacare.

SOMEWHAT RELATED: ObamaCare Exchange Policies May Hike Health Costs

Once again, what is Obama’s plan to deal with the debt?

Meanwhile,” wrote the editors of the Wall Street Journal in April, commenting on President Obama’s invocation of the idea of “Social Darwinism” in criticizing the Ryan budget,

. . . the budget has grown by more than 20% since [Obama] has been President. After deficits of $1.412 trillion, $1.293 trillion, and $1.299 trillion over the last three years, and an estimated $1.326 trillion due for 2012, he still claims the deficits are all Mr. Bush’s fault—except for the extra spending on Medicare, which he likes.

Still blaming Bush even after telling Jay Leno at the dawn of his administration “was “trying to break is a pattern in Washington where everybody is always looking for somebody else to blame.

On January 20, 2009, the day the incumbent took office, the national debt stood at $10.627 trillion,”   As I write this, it stands at $16.235 trillion, an increase of $5.608 trillion, $709 billion more than the debt accumulated under his predecessor — in two terms.  Now comes a report saying “U.S. Per Person Debt [Is] Now 35 Percent Higher than that of Greece“:

“On a per person basis, that means U.S. debt is $53,400 for every man, woman, and child, compared to $39,400 for every man, woman, and child in Greece. The disparity between per capita debt in the U.S. and Greece has grown 40 percent (roughly $8,400) since 2011. Now, U.S. per person debt is 35 percent higher than that of Greece, and is also higher than per capita debt in Portugal, Italy, or Spain (which together with Greece make up the so-called PIGS countries).”

We’re out of money. We’re broke. As Sarah Hoyt put it, “We’ve come to the end of cake.”   And instead of trying to work with Republicans who have put forward ideas on how to cut the budget, Obama has compared them to Social Darwinists, without putting forward his own plan to deal with the debt crisis.