Figuring out what’s happening in Washington – under the surface, with the Deep State factions – is a guessing game. Highly uncertain. Of course I don’t “know anything”, in the sense of having sources. I read the tea leaves as best I can, and I guess.
When President Trump unexpectedly did a huge Saudi arms deal, I had a feeling that former FBI Director Comey’s testimony would then turn out as a net win for Trump. What’s the connection? Hard to explain. I’m going to say some stuff now which could easily be crap; feel free to shoot it down in the comments, or to add your own ideas.
Trump started his presidential campaign as a populist outsider, offering a wild-eyed version of common sense on immigration, trade, peace (i.e., not doing new wars – except to smash ISIS), etc.
Whereas Hillary was very much the candidate of the Establishment, with all its shenanigans and baloney. Especially she was the candidate of Big Banking (Goldman-Sachs, Lady Lynn Forester de Rothschild), the Deep State (the enduring bureaucrats at State, Defense, DOJ, and the so-called intelligence agencies), and Saudi Arabia.
At some point, I think, Trump peeled off *some* Deep State faction from Hillary. Otherwise, he would have lost. (No, I’m not sure what I’m alleging there. I don’t know how all the machinery works. I just have a gut feeling that, if you have 95% of the Establishment against you instead of only 75%, you will lose the election. Somehow.)
Which faction? Trump gave a hint in his inaugural address, when he repeatedly used the phrase “America First”. He got the support of certain people – perhaps mainly in the military/Pentagon? – who felt that it was time for the U.S. to retrench. People who felt that the U.S. had gotten too aggressive in starting wars (Obama’s Libya and Syria wars), in encroaching on Russia (Obama’s Ukraine coup / civil war), in signing up for costly globalist deals (the TPP and the Paris agreement), etc.
I think that because, around late summer 2016, there was a shift in Trump’s rhetoric away from defense spending cuts. He became pro-Pentagon. Not in a “let’s have more wars” way, but rather, in a “I will look out for you guys” way. (Remember, the military isn’t necessarily pro-war; just pro-defense spending.)
Anyway, he won in November. But still, Trump didn’t have enough Establishment support to govern – that is, to survive in office. The other 75% was enraged by Hillary’s loss and was not going to let Trump survive. Hence, the campaign of leaks and evidence-free innuendo to destroy him.
Until recently. In February and March, Trump appointed a bunch of Goldman-Sachs people to Treasury positions. In April, he bombed Syria. In May, he completed the huge Saudi arms deal. The latter *could* be a sign that the Saudis, and Saudi-oriented U.S. politicians (such as the Bushes), now hate Trump less than before – and will let him survive his four-year term.
I said to myself “If all that is true, then it won’t matter that Comey is aligned with the Clintons. Deep State and Senate Republicans will be yanking Comey’s leash now. They will question him in such a manner that Comey looks bad. Trump survives this.”
I didn’t want to make a big public prediction of it, because I wasn’t very sure. But so it has come to be. Even Trump-hating Senators, like Marco “Junior McCain” Rubio, went out of their way to help Comey fall on the point of his sword. Comey is now in jeopardy for his manipulative (and probably illegal) leaking, and Trump benefits.
My next semi-predictions (just guesses, just seeing if my speculations are true or not):
- The Clintons are done.
Many observe that the Saudis, Clintons and Bushes have been aligned for decades. *If* Trump has induced the Saudis and the Bushes to be neutral toward him (rather than hostile), the Clintons should now find themselves out in the cold. Within 3-4 months, CNN should get less crazy on the anti-Trump, and Hillary should be dead (as a political force – wink).
- Special Counsel Mueller’s investigation of Trumprussia will turn up nothing.
Trumprussia was always a witch hunt, meant to manufacture Trump administration crimes where none existed. Mueller is said to be a political
sleazeballoperator like Comey; but more aligned with the Bushes. *If* I’m correct in guessing that the Bushes, Saudis and Trump have compromised, Mueller would then be on a short leash.
- We will still get some decent policy from Trump – appointing conservative judges, scaling back regulations, limited tax reform, limited Obamacare reform, partial cleanup of the DOJ and Federal law enforcement, pushing back on bad trade or environmental agreements, some border enforcement, a little bit of budget sanity – but not a revolution. Because my main point is that he’s making some compromises with The Swamp. Still better than what we would have gotten from Hillary, the Swamp Queen.
We shall see.