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  1. Newsom’s first win as SF mayor was narrow; he barely won over a gay Green candidate, and had some hard feelings to face in the gay community. His campaign to issue marriage licenses turned that around, making him a San Francisco gay hero. Did he calculate the whole thing? Perhaps we’ll never know, though I personally would have my money on ‘yes’.

    Comment by ILoveCapitalism — June 17, 2009 @ 4:32 pm - June 17, 2009

  2. And he will San Francisco overwhelmingly. The rest of the state? Not so much.

    Comment by Robert — June 17, 2009 @ 5:05 pm - June 17, 2009

  3. I guarantee with the number of Hispanic and black voters in CA – who voted in large part against SSM, like they did in Texas and other states where DOMA came up – Twosome Newsome’s taking a big risk in alienating this segment of lockbox voters.

    All it takes is ONE pastor or preacher at the pulpit to decry his actions, and it’s over.

    Regards,
    Peter H.

    Comment by Peter Hughes — June 17, 2009 @ 5:06 pm - June 17, 2009

  4. @ILove: Matt Gonzalez isn’t gay.

    I honestly don’t know if Gavin can win (the primary). San Francisco’s “progressive” wing still hates Newsom; beyond his gay support, Gavin is perceived of as to the “right” of Jerry Brown. He’s more supportive of business concerns and will desperately need the support of Silicon Valley democrats, who he is simultaneously pissing off over the fight over the 49ers. I’m not sure who will win the Latino vote in the primary, though, and that will likely decide it.

    Comment by DaveO — June 17, 2009 @ 5:09 pm - June 17, 2009

  5. So, the face that he went to rehab for substance abuse and committed adultery with the wife of an aide is a resume-enhancer among Democrats?

    Comment by V the K — June 17, 2009 @ 6:14 pm - June 17, 2009

  6. Sorry DaveO, I should have said “gay-backed”.

    Comment by ILoveCapitalism — June 17, 2009 @ 6:35 pm - June 17, 2009

  7. #5: “So, the face that he went to rehab for substance abuse and committed adultery with the wife of an aide is a resume-enhancer among Democrats?”

    Not so much a “resume-enhancer,” V the K. More like a “prerequisite.”

    Comment by Sean A — June 17, 2009 @ 6:46 pm - June 17, 2009

  8. @ILove – THe SF gay community was pretty split in 2003′s Newsom v. Gonzalez election. The “progressive” gays backed Gonzalez and the rest backed Newsom, much like the rest of the electorate. I don’t think either really dominated the gay vote in 2003.

    Comment by DaveO — June 17, 2009 @ 6:58 pm - June 17, 2009

  9. from the article: It becomes increasingly clear that his decision to direct city authorities to issue marriage licenses to gay couples in 2004 was a ploy to curry favor with the gay community in anticipation of a future gubernatorial bid.

    Increasing clear? It was obvious from the very moment he proposed it.

    Comment by Niall — June 17, 2009 @ 7:27 pm - June 17, 2009

  10. The “progressive” gays backed Gonzalez and the rest backed Newsom

    DaveO, just as I said: Newsom “barely won over a gay[-backed] Green candidate, and had some hard feelings to face in the gay community”. I remember the election, DaveO, though I did not have the privilege of voting in it. Who are the loudest people in the SF gay community, with the longest memories and hardest memories, the ones Newsom needed to make himself a hero to? The progressives.

    Comment by ILoveCapitalism — June 17, 2009 @ 8:03 pm - June 17, 2009

  11. (sorry, meant to type “with… the hardest feelings”)

    Comment by ILoveCapitalism — June 17, 2009 @ 8:04 pm - June 17, 2009

  12. As if leftist politics hadn’t already done enough damage to California. An endorsement by the SF gay crowd (any Folsom street sponsors in this lot) certainly doesn’t rate a ‘+’ on my checklist.

    Geez – can neither party come up with a decent candidate?

    Newsom want’s to bring SF to the rest of the state and the GOP will run an open-borders corporate type.

    Comment by SoCalRobert — June 17, 2009 @ 8:50 pm - June 17, 2009

  13. I met an interesting and tough Republican lady activist this past weekend who raved about Poizner. Is he an open-borders type, unfortunately?

    Comment by ILoveCapitalism — June 17, 2009 @ 9:46 pm - June 17, 2009

  14. Gadzooks, the thought of Newsom as our Governor is horrifying! Although our state is in such a mess anyway, how much worse could it get? (I just jinxed us, didn’t I?)
    Meg Whitman (former CEO of eBay) is running, but I think she voted Yes on 8, so I doubt she’ll be supported by many in the gay community. I’ve heard Tom Campbell is a decent candidate, but am not sure where he stands on the gay marriage issue.
    Too bad Newsom’s ex-wife Kimberly Guilfoyle at FOXNews doesn’t move back to Cali and run against him! That would be an excellent smackdown that I’d pay to see!

    Comment by Annie — June 18, 2009 @ 1:41 am - June 18, 2009

  15. @Annies – Tom Campbell supports gay marriage.

    @ILove – I continue to state that it’s incorrect to say that Gonzalez was “gay-backed”. Newsom was supported by the Alice B. Toklas LGBT Democratic Club, Mark Leno, Susan Leal and Bevan Dufty. Gonzalez was supported by the Harvey Milk club and Tom Ammiano. I looked at 2003 election returns and, even in the heart of the Castro, Gonzalez barely came out ahead.

    Comment by DaveO — June 18, 2009 @ 2:37 am - June 18, 2009

  16. In other words: Gonzalez did come out ahead among SF gays, if only slightly.

    We could quibble over the margin, DaveO, but my point is this: Newsom isn’t stupid… He looked at the returns, too.

    Comment by ILoveCapitalism — June 18, 2009 @ 9:47 am - June 18, 2009

  17. Seems to me he’s ready made for his opponent.

    “Gavin Newsome flaunted the law as the Mayor of SF. What will he do as Governour?”

    Comment by The Livewire — June 18, 2009 @ 1:41 pm - June 18, 2009

  18. Newsom gives the term “trash for cash” a whole new meaning.

    Regards,
    Peter H.

    Comment by Peter Hughes — June 18, 2009 @ 2:59 pm - June 18, 2009

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