Yes, Virginia, conservative ideas can resonate with minorities
A recent Pew Research survey showing Republicans are making serious gains in “leaned party identification” among white voters, particularly those under 30 and those “earning less than $30,000 annually”. Yet, as my friend John Hinderaker noted, they have failed to make similar headway among ethnic minorities. He offers “two possible explanations” :
The first is that poorer whites see their fortunes as tied to the economy, while poorer African-Americans and Hispanics are more likely to see their fortunes as tied to government support. Thus, hard economic times may only cement their loyalty to those who promise more government benefits.
This theory may be partially correct, but it can’t account for the whole phenomenon, since large majorities of African-Americans and Hispanics are not poor, but are middle-income or better. Likewise, the fact that African-Americans (but not, to my knowledge, Hispanics) are more likely than whites to be public employees can be, at most, a partial explanation.
The second possibility is that Republicans haven’t done a good enough job of competing for the votes of these minorities. This is, of course, a discussion of long standing in Republican circles.
It would be interesting to see if there has been any shift among gay voters in the past two years. Surely, gay entrepreneurs feel the impact of increasing regulation and prefer policies which give them greater freedom to operate their enterprises.
But, does the perception that social conservative dominate the GOP prevent gays businessmen and women (less attuned than we to the increasing economic focus of the GOP) from choosing the party which better represents their economic concerns? (more…)







